Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 28
- Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Bagiev S. 🟨,
- 38', Gorbunov I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Reyes E. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
- 63', Berkovsky I. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 63', Shitov V. ↓, Apekov R. ↑,
- 65', Yushin A. ↓, Tsypchenko D. ↑,
- 65', Bagiev S. ↓, Kalayda D. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Gorbunov I. ⚽,
- 73', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Guliev A. ↑,
- 73', Maksimov M. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
- 75', Orekhov A. ↓, Kashtanov A. ↑,
- 75', Putsko A. 🟨,
- 82', Gorbunov I. ↓, Botaka-Yoboma E. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Tsypchenko D. ⚽,
- 88', Roganovic B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Torpedo Moscow 44.1% | Draw 30.1% | Arsenal Tula 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.33) |
3.18 ↑ (3.07) |
3.7 ↑ (3.36) |
4.6% (5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1.
- Torpedo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arsenal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Torpedo could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Torpedo Moscow won against Arsenal Tula?
Torpedo Moscow has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Tula won against Torpedo Moscow?
Arsenal Tula has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
11.10.2025
Arsenal Tula
-
Torpedo Moscow
2:2
30.03.2025
Arsenal Tula
-
Torpedo Moscow
0:1
09.09.2024
Torpedo Moscow
-
Arsenal Tula
2:2
20.04.2024
Torpedo Moscow
-
Arsenal Tula
1:1
28.08.2023
Arsenal Tula
-
Torpedo Moscow
1:1
Latest results of Torpedo Moscow
Latest results of Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 61 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Torpedo Moscow | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 30:67 | -37 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
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