Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 28
  • Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
33
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
167
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Corner kicks
33
Free kicks
1610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Bagiev S. 🟨,
  • 38', Gorbunov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Reyes E. , Mirzov R. ,
  • 63', Berkovsky I. , Camara M. ,
  • 63', Shitov V. , Apekov R. ,
  • 65', Yushin A. , Tsypchenko D. ,
  • 65', Bagiev S. , Kalayda D. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Gorbunov I. ,
  • 73', Ahlinvi M. , Guliev A. ,
  • 73', Maksimov M. , Azyavin I. ,
  • 75', Orekhov A. , Kashtanov A. ,
  • 75', Putsko A. 🟨,
  • 82', Gorbunov I. , Botaka-Yoboma E. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Tsypchenko D. ,
  • 88', Roganovic B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Torpedo Moscow
44.1%
Draw
30.1%
Arsenal Tula
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 31% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 30.8% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.33)
    3.18
    (3.07)
    3.7
    (3.36)
    4.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1.
    • Torpedo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Torpedo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow 2:2
    30.03.2025 Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow 0:1
    09.09.2024 Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula 2:2
    20.04.2024 Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula 1:1
    28.08.2023 Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    Latest results of Torpedo Moscow
    Latest results of Arsenal Tula
    05.04.2026 Arsenal Tula - Fakel 1:2
    15.03.2026 Ural - Arsenal Tula 2:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    2Fakel Voronezh31187639:221761
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey311210936:32446
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    11Torpedo Moscow311091233:38-539
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka31571930:67-3722
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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