Result
0:1
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League 2
- Referee: Heaslip E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Arsenal TV, RAMS TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Perry J. 🟨,
- 27', Perry J. ↓, Crolla L. ↑,
- 29', Dudziak H. 🟨,
- 41', Agustien D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
- 58', Dudziak H. ↓, Ibrahim I. ↑,
- 58', Ferdinand S. ↓, Harriman-Annous A. ↑,
- 58', Osong J. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
- 68', Agustien D. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
- 71', Turley F. 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 1, Kamara O. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
- 77', Oguntolu J. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
- 85', Wahling J. 🟨,
- 85', Stevens A. ↓, Clarke B. ↑,
- 88', Nichols J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County U21
22.1% | Draw
24.6% | Arsenal U21
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Derby County U21 - Arsenal U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.21 ↑
(3.67) |
3.78 ↓
(4.22) |
1.75 ↑
(1.71) |
7.3%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Derby U21 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arsenal U21 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arsenal U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arsenal U21 is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Arsenal U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County U21 won against Arsenal U21?
Derby County U21 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal U21 won against Derby County U21?
Arsenal U21 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County U21 - Arsenal U21 were as follows:
07.04.2025
Arsenal U21
-
Derby County U21
2:2
Latest results of Derby County U21
Latest results of Arsenal U21
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Southampton U21 (6) | Aston Villa U21 (11) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Manchester City U21 (3) | Arsenal U21 (14) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 (1) | Middlesbrough U21 (16) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 (8) | Leicester U21 (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Liverpool U21 (7) | Crystal Palace U21 (10) | 3 : 4 |
| 6 | Manchester Utd U21 (2) | Sunderland U21 (15) | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Ipswich U21 (5) | Brighton U21 (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 (4) | West Ham U21 (13) | 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Aston Villa U21 | Manchester City U21 | |
| 2 | Chelsea U21 | Tottenham U21 | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace U21 | Manchester Utd U21 | |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | West Ham U21 | |
