Arsenal vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Arsenal - Aston Villa
Result
2:2
18/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 22
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Premier League
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanU-NEXT
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport NOW
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
thailandThailandTrue Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, ON Football, ON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.04
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
83
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
101
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1810
Offsides
32
Fouls
1018
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
1210
Touches in the Opposition Box
3713
Passes
88% (427/483)73% (193/264)
Passes in the final third
78% (166/212)51% (24/47)
Crosses
29% (10/35)20% (1/5)
Tackles
58% (7/12)44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
839
Interceptions
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Maatsen I. 🟨,
  • 30', Arteta M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Martinelli G. , Trossard L. (A),
  • 37', Onana A. , Bogarde L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Maatsen I. , Digne L. ,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Havertz K. , Trossard L. (A),
  • 60', 2 - 1, Tielemans Y. , Digne L. (A),
  • 63', Emery U. 🟨,
  • 67', Trossard L. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Watkins O. , Cash M. (A),
  • 78', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 80', Watkins O. , Duran J. ,
  • 82', Martinelli G. , Sterling R. ,
  • 85', Ramsey J. , Bailey L. ,
  • 90+4', Sterling R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rogers M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
59.7%
Draw
24.2%
Aston Villa
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 20.8% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 20.5% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Arsenal - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.47)
    4.01
    (4.61)
    5.91
    (6.9)
    3.7%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBC (4K)
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 43 - 70.5%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 5 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 21.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 59.1%81.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3.
    • Recent matches Arsenal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Arsenal is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Nwaneri E. (Muscle Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury) White B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Diego Carlos (Ankle Injury) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:19 (average 1.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:13 (average 2.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Aston Villa were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Aston Villa - Arsenal 0:2
    14.04.2024 Arsenal - Aston Villa 0:2
    09.12.2023 Aston Villa - Arsenal 1:0
    18.02.2023 Aston Villa - Arsenal 2:4
    31.08.2022 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship