Arsenal vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
4:1
30/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: England D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkAmazon Prime Video, TV3+, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalySky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports
mexicoMexicoFOX One
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenAmazon Prime Video, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Premier League
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBCSN, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.172.66
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (304/351)87% (355/408)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
3.172.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.982.00
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
179
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
65
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
3820
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
918
Passes
87% (304/351)87% (355/408)
Long passes
63% (17/27)55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
77% (102/132)81% (46/57)
Crosses
42% (5/12)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.46
Throw-ins
817
Fouls
189
Tackles
41% (7/17)40% (4/10)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.002.98
Goals prevented
1.00-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Merino M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Onana A. ↓, McGinn J. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Gabriel ⚽,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Zubimendi M. ⚽, Odegaard M. (A),
  • 61', Sancho J. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
  • 61', Buendia E. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Trossard L. ⚽, Timber J. (A),
  • 73', Merino M. ↓, Norgaard C. ↑,
  • 77', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
  • 77', Gabriel ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
  • 78', 4 - 0, Gabriel Jesus ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
  • 79', Gabriel Jesus 🟨,
  • 82', Bogarde L. 🟨,
  • 82', Rogers M. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
  • 82', Tielemans Y. ↓, Hemmings G. ↑,
  • 83', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
  • 83', Saka B. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Watkins O. ⚽,
  • 90+7', Watkins O. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2shr3zwc

Chances of winning


Arsenal
66.1%		Draw
20.4%		Aston Villa
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 22% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 24.6% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Arsenal - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.45
    (1.45)    		 4.69 ↑
    (4.27)    		 7.08 ↑
    (7.03)    		 4.2%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 52 - 72.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 12 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 61.9% – 82.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Aston Villa (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Aston Villa (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Aston Villa (2.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Aston Villa (2.03) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -5 - Arsenal (51.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 - Arsenal (33.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Aston Villa (6.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Aston Villa (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 38 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 18 - 47.4%). Aston Villa (votes: 14 - 36.8%). Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1.
    • Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury) White B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Cash M. (Yellow Cards) Guessand E. (International duty) Kamara B. (Yellow Cards) Mings T. (Hamstring Injury) Torres P. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Injury)
    • We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:22. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 2.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Aston Villa were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Aston Villa - Arsenal 2:1
    18.01.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:2
    24.08.2024 Aston Villa - Arsenal 0:2
    14.04.2024 Arsenal - Aston Villa 0:2
    09.12.2023 Aston Villa - Arsenal 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal
    27.12.2025 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    23.12.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Everton - Arsenal 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers 2:1 ✺
    10.12.2025 Club Brugge - Arsenal 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    27.12.2025 Chelsea - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 West Ham United - Aston Villa 2:3 ✺
    11.12.2025 Basel - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    06.12.2025 Aston Villa - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal29197358:223664
    2Manchester City28185557:253259
    3Manchester Utd28149550:381251
    4Aston Villa28156738:30851
    5Liverpool28146847:371048
    6Chelsea28129749:331645
    7Brentford281341144:40443
    8Everton281171032:33-140
    9Fulham281241240:42-240
    10Bournemouth28912744:46-239
    11Brighton28910938:35337
    12Sunderland28910929:34-537
    13Newcastle281061240:42-236
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds287101137:47-1031
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham28761526:41-1527
    18West Ham28671534:54-2025
    19Burnley28471732:56-2419
    20Wolves29272020:51-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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