Athletic Bilbao vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal
Result
0:2
16/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldSport 24, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.10
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
73% (223/304)83% (409/490)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.411.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.03
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
73% (223/304)83% (409/490)
Long passes
34% (20/59)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)70% (72/103)
Crosses
23% (3/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.76
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1815
Tackles
75% (12/16)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4261
Clearances
2224
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.030.27
Goals prevented
-0.970.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', Navarro R. , Gomez U. ,
  • 65', Gyökeres V. , Trossard L. ,
  • 68', Boiro A. , Berchiche Y. ,
  • 68', Sancet O. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 71', Eze E. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Martinelli G. , Trossard L. (A),
  • 81', Gomez U. , Serrano N. ,
  • 81', Vesga M. , Rego A. ,
  • 85', Madueke N. 🟨,
  • 85', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Trossard L. , Martinelli G. (A),
  • 90+1', Calafiori R. , Hincapie P. ,
  • 90+1', Madueke N. , Norgaard C. ,
  • 90+1', Zubimendi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
20.3%
Draw
27.8%
Arsenal
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 27.8% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1% 26.9% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.56
    (3.7)
    3.47
    (3.46)
    1.88
    (2.08)
    4.1%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (98 of 112 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.38%93.63%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Athletic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arsenal is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Arsenal is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Laporte A. (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Odegaard M. (Shoulder Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) White B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Norgaard C. (Injury) Saliba W. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Arsenal - Athletic Bilbao 3:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Arsenal
    31.08.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0
    23.08.2025 Arsenal - Leeds United 5:0
    09.08.2025 Arsenal - Athletic Bilbao 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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