Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
4:0
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 2, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.67
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
90% (379/421)84% (333/395)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.810.11
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
168
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
90% (379/421)84% (333/395)
Long passes
61% (19/31)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
78% (101/130)80% (65/81)
Crosses
20% (3/15)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.67
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1410
Tackles
50% (6/12)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
1829
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.113.81
Goals prevented
0.11-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,
  • 38', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Gabriel ⚽, Rice D. (A),
  • 63', Gimenez J. M. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
  • 63', Gonzalez N. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
  • 63', Koke ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Martinelli G. ⚽, Lewis-Skelly M. (A),
  • 67', 3 - 0, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
  • 70', 4 - 0, Gyökeres V. ⚽, Gabriel (A),
  • 72', Sorloth A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
  • 72', Simeone G. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
  • 72', Gabriel ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
  • 72', Eze E. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
  • 72', Zubimendi M. ↓, Norgaard C. ↑,
  • 75', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 83', Gyökeres V. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
  • 83', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
61.7%		Draw
23%		Atlético Madrid
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.3% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 22.2% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
    •

    Arsenal - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.57 ↓
    (1.59)    		 4.22 ↑
    (4.1)    		 6.4 ↑
    (5.77)    		 3%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 59 - 66.3%). Atlético will win (votes: 19 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 56.5% – 76.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Atlético (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atlético (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Arsenal (1.19) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Atlético (1.92) (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Atlético (5.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 42 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 27 - 64.3%). Atlético (votes: 12 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Recently, Atlético has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Arsenal is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Madueke N. (Knee Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Injury)
    • We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Arsenal
    18.10.2025 Fulham - Arsenal 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 2:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Arsenal - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    18.10.2025 Atlético Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    30.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt 5:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 5:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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