Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, Play Sports 4
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360, CANAL+ Sport
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranPersiana Sports 3
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 3 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaSpace Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.740.52
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
122
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
108
Passes
84% (320/383)88% (469/534)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.740.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.920.64
Total shots
219
Shots on target
122
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
135
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
3922
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
84
Passes
84% (320/383)88% (469/534)
Long passes
54% (19/35)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
77% (109/141)85% (143/169)
Crosses
44% (7/16)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
2.070.75
Throw ins
1514
Fouls
48
Tackles
59% (10/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4735
Clearances
2519
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
210
xGOT faced
0.642.92
Goals prevented
0.640.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Eze E. , Trossard L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Palacios E. 🟨,
  • 60', Terrier M. , Tillman M. ,
  • 60', Poku E. , Culbreath M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Rice D. ,
  • 68', Zubimendi M. , Norgaard C. ,
  • 69', White B. , Mosquera C. ,
  • 69', Trossard L. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 69', Eze E. , Havertz K. ,
  • 70', Palacios E. , Schick P. ,
  • 83', Andrich R. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 90', Gyökeres V. , Lewis-Skelly M. ,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
73.3%
Draw
17.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.8% 16.3% 9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1% 16.2% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.3)
    5.62
    (5.88)
    10.12
    (9.76)
    4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 40 - 78.4%). Bayer will win (votes: 4 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 67.1%89.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Bayer (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Arsenal (1.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -2.5 - Bayer (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Bayer (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bayer (3.48) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • EH +1 - Arsenal (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Arsenal (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Arsenal (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Arsenal (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Arsenal (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Arsenal (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arsenal (1.89) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Bayer (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Bayer (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • Arsenal is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Arsenal is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Merino M. (Leg Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury) Timber J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Knee Injury) Lucas (Calf Injury) Tella N. (Inactive) Traore I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Terrier M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    11.03.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal 1:1
    07.08.2024 Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen 4:1
    Latest results of Arsenal
    14.03.2026 Arsenal - Everton 2:0
    11.03.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal 1:1
    07.03.2026 Mansfield Town - Arsenal 1:2
    01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2