Result
28/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Newcastle United
26.8% | Draw
28% | Arsenal
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Newcastle United - Arsenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.2) |
3.47 ↓
(3.65) |
2.16 ↓
(2.17) |
2.8%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Arsenal?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Arsenal will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 25%). Arsenal (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
- Newcastle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arsenal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arsenal could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Arsenal?
Newcastle United has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Newcastle United?
Arsenal has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Arsenal were as follows:
27.07.2025
Arsenal
-
Newcastle United
3:2
18.05.2025
Arsenal
-
Newcastle United
1:0
05.02.2025
Newcastle United
-
Arsenal
2:0
07.01.2025
Arsenal
-
Newcastle United
0:2
02.11.2024
Newcastle United
-
Arsenal
1:0
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Arsenal
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Fulham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Manchester City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Manchester Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Brighton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Burnley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Brentford | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Aston Villa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | West Ham | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Wolves | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
