Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal
Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, MEGA
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL, RTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranAio Sport
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI, RTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, Nove
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1, RTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
luxembourgLuxembourgRTL 2, RTL 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, Sport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Varzish Sport
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, GBC TV, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
76% (242/318)79% (283/356)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.562.13
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
917
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2437
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (242/318)79% (283/356)
Long passes
33% (17/51)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
71% (48/68)75% (126/169)
Crosses
0% (0/6)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.60
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
1111
Tackles
43% (13/30)44% (7/16)
Duels won
6749
Clearances
458
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.133.56
Goals prevented
1.131.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 26', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ruiz F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
  • 68', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 69', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 69', Vitinha (Pen),
  • 70', Barcola B. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Hakimi A. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 74', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Saka B. ⚽,
  • 83', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
  • 86', Calafiori R. 🟨,
  • 86', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
  • 86', Saka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Mendes N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
42.9%		Draw
27.1%		Arsenal
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 26.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.14)    		 3.57 ↓
    (3.68)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.6%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 56 - 53.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 30 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 43.8% – 62.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Arsenal (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Arsenal (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Arsenal (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • PSG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    01.10.2024 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 2:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    03.05.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3 ✺
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺
    20.04.2025 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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