Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal
Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, MEGA
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL, RTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranAio Sport
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI, RTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, Nove
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1, RTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
luxembourgLuxembourgRTL 2, RTL 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, Sport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Varzish Sport
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, GBC TV, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.14
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
76% (242/318)79% (283/356)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.14
xG on target (xGOT)
3.562.13
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
917
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2437
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (242/318)79% (283/356)
Long passes
33% (17/51)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
71% (48/68)75% (126/169)
Crosses
0% (0/6)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.60
Throw-ins
1726
Fouls
1111
Tackles
43% (13/30)44% (7/16)
Duels won
6749
Clearances
458
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.133.56
Goals prevented
1.131.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 26', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ruiz F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Lewis-Skelly M. 🟨,
  • 68', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Calafiori R. ↑,
  • 69', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 69', Vitinha (Pen),
  • 70', Barcola B. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Hakimi A. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 74', Doue D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Saka B. ⚽,
  • 83', Timber J. ↓, White B. ↑,
  • 86', Calafiori R. 🟨,
  • 86', Kvaratskhelia K. 🟨,
  • 86', Saka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Mendes N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
42.9%		Draw
27.1%		Arsenal
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 26.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.24 ↑
    (2.14)    		 3.57 ↓
    (3.68)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.6%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 56 - 53.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 30 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 18.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 43.8% – 62.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Arsenal (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Arsenal (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Arsenal (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • PSG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in PSG: Kimpembe P. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Jorginho (Chest Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, PSG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    01.10.2024 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 2:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    03.05.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3 ✺
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺
    20.04.2025 Ipswich Town - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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