Arthur Cazaux vs Jakub Mensik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
210
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
56%62%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (33/50)74% (37/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (20/40)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
30% (15/50)34% (17/50)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (17/31)50% (20/40)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)27% (3/11)
Service Points Won
59% (52/88)63% (51/81)
Return Points Won
37% (30/81)41% (36/88)
Total Points Won
49% (82/169)51% (87/169)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Arthur Cazaux
33.8%
Jakub Mensik
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 70.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (3)

    1.43
    (1.38)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Mensik will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mensik (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cazaux is ranked ATP: 80. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mensik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik were as follows:
    18.01.2023 Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik 2:0
    Latest results of Arthur Cazaux
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (8)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2