Juncheng Shang vs Arthur Cazaux – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux
Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
68
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
59%56%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (39/51)66% (41/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (20/35)50% (24/48)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/2)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/62)25% (13/51)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (24/48)43% (15/35)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)100% (2/2)
Winners
2426
Unforced Errors
1613
Net Points Won
44% (11/25)57% (13/23)
Service Points Won
69% (58/84)59% (65/110)
Return Points Won
41% (45/110)31% (26/84)
Total Points Won
53% (103/194)47% (91/194)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Juncheng Shang
59.8%
Arthur Cazaux
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.
  • Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Cazaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juncheng Shang that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Cazaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (2.32)

    2.71
    (1.6)
    -4.4%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shang (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cazaux (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shang is ranked ATP: 238. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 80.
    • Shang is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cazaux has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cazaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Arthur Cazaux - Juncheng Shang 1:2
    Latest results of Juncheng Shang
    Latest results of Arthur Cazaux
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (8)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2