Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Machac T. retired
04/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
57%53%
1st serve points won
92% (24/26)76% (25/33)
2nd serve points won
60% (12/20)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
24% (8/33)8% (2/26)
2nd return points won
48% (14/29)40% (8/20)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)0% (0/0)
Winners
2020
Unforced errors
1025
Net points won
78% (7/9)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
78% (36/46)64% (39/61)
Return Points Won
36% (22/61)22% (10/46)
Total Points Won
54% (58/107)46% (49/107)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (9/9)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
56% (10/18)44% (8/18)

Chances of winning


Arthur Gea
33.8%
Tomas Machac
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 62.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.86)

    1.43
    (1.37)
    5.7%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Machac (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tomas Machac will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Gea (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Machac (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gea is ranked ATP: 168. Machac is ranked ATP: 28.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Machac is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Machac will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    02.02.2026 Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Mpetshi Perricard G. retired
    19.01.2026 Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Gea 0:3
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Medjedovic H.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    3Vavassori A. (Q)Blanchet U. (LL)0 : 2
    4Royer V.Fils A. (6)1 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    8Kouame M. (Q)Kovacevic A. (8)1 : 2
    9Humbert U. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    10Martinez P.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    11Gea A. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.)1 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Hurkacz H. (7)Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    14Bautista-Agut R.O'Connell C.2 : 1
    15Basilashvili N.Nardi L.0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Blanchet U.Fils A. (6)0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (4)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kovacevic A. (8)2 : 1
    5Humbert U. (5)Mannarino A.1 : 2
    6Gea A.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    7Damm M.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    8Nardi L.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Fils A. (6)2 : 0
    2Griekspoor T. (4)Droguet T.0 : 2
    3Mannarino A.Gea A.2 : 1
    4Damm M.Nardi L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Droguet T.2 : 1
    2Mannarino A.Damm M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mannarino A.2 : 0