Arthur Nagel vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
49%68%
1st serve points won
67% (26/39)66% (31/47)
2nd serve points won
34% (14/41)59% (13/22)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
34% (16/47)41% (16/39)
2nd return points won
41% (9/22)66% (27/41)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)31% (5/16)
Winners
2021
Unforced errors
4623
Net points won
67% (14/21)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
50% (40/80)64% (44/69)
Return Points Won
36% (25/69)50% (40/80)
Total Points Won
44% (65/149)56% (84/149)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (5/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)50% (5/10)
Total games won
35% (7/20)65% (13/20)

Chances of winning


Arthur Nagel
40.8%
Lucas Poullain
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 65.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.
  • Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Poullain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.95)

    1.57
    (1.35)
    7.7%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nagel will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Poullain will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nagel is ranked ATP: 533. Poullain is ranked ATP: 418.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Nagel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Poullain is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain were as follows:
    02.11.2023 Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain 0:2
    Latest results of Arthur Nagel
    18.02.2026 Octave Caillat - Arthur Nagel Caillat O. retired
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)
    5Lajal M. (5)Herbert P.
    6Poullain L.TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Ofner S. (4)TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2