Arthur Nagel vs Pietro Orlando Fellin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
75%62%
1st serve points won
54% (52/97)68% (44/65)
2nd serve points won
55% (18/33)45% (18/40)
Break Points Saved
7/131/5
1st return points won
32% (21/65)46% (45/97)
2nd return points won
55% (22/40)45% (15/33)
Break Points Converted
4/56/13
Winners
2440
Unforced errors
4964
Net points won
60% (6/10)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
54% (70/130)59% (62/105)
Return Points Won
41% (43/105)46% (60/130)
Total Points Won
48% (113/235)52% (122/235)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
63% (10/16)75% (12/16)
Return games won
25% (4/16)38% (6/16)
Total games won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Arthur Nagel
56%
Pietro Orlando Fellin
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.
  • Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietro Orlando Fellin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pietro Orlando Fellin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arthur Nagel - Pietro Orlando Fellin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.19)

    2.12
    (1.59)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Nagel - Pietro Orlando Fellin?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nagel will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fellin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nagel is ranked ATP: 529. Fellin is ranked ATP: 453.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fellin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Arthur Nagel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.2 : 0
    2Poljicak M.Giustino L. (7)2 : 1
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.0 : 2
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)2 : 0
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.0 : 2
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ribecai M.Poljicak M. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Coppejans K.Sachko V. (5)1 : 2
    3Dalla Valle E.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    4Gill F.Krumich M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ribecai M.Sachko V. (5)2 : 0
    2Neumayer L.Gill F. (RET.)1 : 0

    Final
    1Ribecai M.Neumayer L.1 : 2