Arthur Nagel vs Sebastian Sorger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/03/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Creteil, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
55

Chances of winning


Arthur Nagel
34.6%
Sebastian Sorger
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Nagel's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+18%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Nagel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Sorger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arthur Nagel - Sebastian Sorger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (1.98)

    1.42
    (1.7)
    7.9%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nagel is ranked ATP: 529. Sorger is ranked ATP: 563.
    • In recent matches, Nagel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sorger is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sorger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Sorger will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Arthur Nagel
    Latest results of Sebastian Sorger
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Raquillet L.2 : 0
    2Massard L.Agwi M.2 : 0
    3Honda N.Summers M.2 : 0
    4Kaouk M.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    5Masur D. (4)Guiovanna N.2 : 0
    6Deleersnyder C.Naw H.0 : 2
    7Lagarrigue L.Matusevich A.0 : 2
    8Livet Novkirichka F.Zakaria F. (RET.) (8)1 : 0
    9Moeller M. (5)Bertimon M.2 : 1
    10Wehnelt K.Gerbaud T.2 : 1
    11Tepmahc N.Jade D.2 : 1
    12Picard M.Stewart H. (3)1 : 2
    13Nagel A. (7)Karma N.2 : 1
    14Sorger S.M'Chich A.2 : 0
    15Trufelli T.Andres R.2 : 0
    16Donald M.Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Massard L.2 : 0
    2Honda N.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    3Masur D. (4)Naw H.0 : 2
    4Matusevich A.Livet Novkirichka F.2 : 0
    5Moeller M. (5)Wehnelt K.2 : 0
    6Tepmahc N.Stewart H. (3)0 : 2
    7Nagel A. (7)Sorger S.2 : 0
    8Trufelli T.Stricker D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Malige M. (6)2 : 0
    2Naw H.Matusevich A.0 : 2
    3Moeller M. (5)Stewart H. (3)2 : 0
    4Nagel A. (7)Stricker D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broom C. (1)Matusevich A.2 : 0
    2Moeller M. (5)Nagel A. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Broom C. (1)Moeller M. (5)