Arthur Rinderknech vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP US Open Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Result
3:2
27/08/2025 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
95
1st Serve Percentage
61%65%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (57/81)71% (60/84)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (26/51)50% (23/46)
Break Points Saved
58% (7/12)54% (7/13)
Average 1st Serve Speed
182 km/h170 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
157 km/h144 km/h
1st Return Points Won
29% (24/84)30% (24/81)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (23/46)49% (25/51)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)42% (5/12)
Winners
3633
Unforced Errors
3836
Net Points Won
65% (22/34)81% (26/32)
Service Points Won
63% (83/132)64% (83/130)
Return Points Won
36% (47/130)37% (49/132)
Total Points Won
50% (130/262)50% (132/262)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (17/22)73% (16/22)
Return Games Won
27% (6/22)23% (5/22)
Total Games Won
52% (23/44)48% (21/44)
Distance Covered (metres)
25692373

Chances of winning


Arthur Rinderknech
19.4%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 68.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Rinderknech's form might have worsened.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (3.23)

    1.18
    (1.4)
    4.9%
    (2.4%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 61.6%91.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 82. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 18.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Davidovich Fokina is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rinderknech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
    Latest results of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Kopriva V.3 : 0
    2Popyrin A.Ruusuvuori E.3 : 0
    3Royer V. (WC)Bu Y.3 : 0
    4Fucsovics M.Shapovalov D. (27)0 : 3
    5Bublik A. (23)Cilic M.3 : 0
    6Sonego L.Schoolkate T. (WC)2 : 3
    7Borges N.Holt B.3 : 0
    8Moller E.Paul T. (14)0 : 3
    9Musetti L. (10)Mpetshi Perricard G.3 : 1
    10Halys Q.Goffin D.1 : 3
    11Brooksby J.Vukic A.3 : 2
    12Passaro F. (Q)Cobolli F. (24)2 : 3
    13Diallo G. (31)Dzumhur D.3 : 1
    14Munar J.Faria J. (LL)3 : 1
    15Bergs Z.Tseng C. H.3 : 0
    16Gomez F. A. (Q)Draper J. (5)1 : 3
    17Zverev A. (3)Tabilo A.3 : 0
    18Bautista-Agut R.Fearnley J.1 : 3
    19Monfils G.Safiullin R.2 : 3
    20Harris B. (LL)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)0 : 3
    21Humbert U. (22)Walton A.1 : 3
    22Kovacevic A.Wong C. (Q)0 : 3
    23Duckworth J. (LL)Boyer T. (WC)0 : 3
    24Prizmic D. (Q)Rublev A. (15)0 : 3
    25Khachanov K. (9)Basavareddy N. (WC)3 : 1
    26Dellien H.Majchrzak K.1 : 3
    27Riedi L. (Q)Martinez P.3 : 0
    28Arnaldi M.Cerundolo F. (19)2 : 3
    29Tsitsipas S. (26)Muller A.3 : 1
    30Altmaier D.Medjedovic H.3 : 2
    31Gaston H.Mochizuki S. (Q)0 : 3
    32O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (8)0 : 3
    33Djokovic N. (7)Tien L.3 : 0
    34Svajda Z. (Q)Piros Z. (Q)3 : 0
    35Norrie C.Korda S. (RET.)2 : 0
    36Comesana F.Michelsen A. (28)3 : 1
    37Tiafoe F. (17)Nishioka Y.3 : 0
    38Damm M. (Q)Blanch Dar. (WC)3 : 0
    39Struff J-L. (Q)McDonald M.3 : 1
    40Van De Zandschulp B.Rune H. (11)0 : 3
    41Mensik J. (16)Jarry N.3 : 0
    42Blanchet U. (Q)Marozsan F.3 : 1
    43Fonseca J.Kecmanovic M.3 : 0
    44Nardi L.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    45Nakashima B. (30)De Jong J. (Q)3 : 2
    46Kym J. (Q)Quinn E.3 : 1
    47Baez S.Harris L. (Q)0 : 3
    48Nava E. (WC)Fritz T. (4)0 : 3
    49Shelton B. (6)Buse I. (Q)3 : 0
    50Carreno-Busta P.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)3 : 0
    51Thompson J.Moutet C.3 : 1
    52Mannarino A.Griekspoor T. (29)3 : 0
    53Lehecka J. (20)Coric B.3 : 1
    54Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 3
    55Galan D. E. (Alt)Collignon R.0 : 3
    56Ofner S.Ruud C. (12)0 : 3
    57Medvedev D. (13)Bonzi B.2 : 3
    58Navone M.Giron M.2 : 3
    59Carballes Baena R.Rinderknech A.1 : 3
    60Shevchenko A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)0 : 3
    61Darderi L. (32)Hijikata R.3 : 0
    62Dostanic S. (WC)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 3
    63Bellucci M.Shang J. (RET.)2 : 1
    64Opelka R.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Popyrin A.3 : 0
    2Royer V.Shapovalov D. (27)1 : 3
    3Bublik A. (23)Schoolkate T.3 : 0
    4Borges N.Paul T. (14)2 : 3
    5Musetti L. (10)Goffin D.3 : 0
    6Brooksby J.Cobolli F. (24)2 : 3
    7Diallo G. (31)Munar J.0 : 3
    8Bergs Z. (WO.)Draper J. (5)
    9Zverev A. (3)Fearnley J.3 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Auger-Aliassime F. (25)0 : 3
    11Walton A.Wong C.1 : 3
    12Boyer T.Rublev A. (15)1 : 3
    13Khachanov K. (9)Majchrzak K.2 : 3
    14Riedi L.Cerundolo F. (19)3 : 2
    15Tsitsipas S. (26)Altmaier D.2 : 3
    16Mochizuki S.De Minaur A. (8)0 : 3
    17Djokovic N. (7)Svajda Z.3 : 1
    18Norrie C.Comesana F.3 : 1
    19Tiafoe F. (17)Damm M.3 : 1
    20Struff J-L.Rune H. (11)3 : 2
    21Mensik J. (16)Blanchet U.2 : 3
    22Fonseca J.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    23Nakashima B. (30)Kym J.2 : 3
    24Harris L.Fritz T. (4)1 : 3
    25Shelton B. (6)Carreno-Busta P.3 : 0
    26Thompson J.Mannarino A.1 : 3
    27Lehecka J. (20)Etcheverry T. M.3 : 1
    28Collignon R.Ruud C. (12)3 : 2
    29Bonzi B.Giron M.3 : 2
    30Rinderknech A.Davidovich Fokina A. (18)3 : 2
    31Darderi L. (32)Spizzirri E.3 : 1
    32Bellucci M.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Shapovalov D. (27)3 : 1
    2Bublik A. (23)Paul T. (14)3 : 2
    3Musetti L. (10)Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)2 : 0
    4Munar J.Bergs Z.3 : 0
    5Zverev A. (3)Auger-Aliassime F. (25)1 : 3
    6Wong C.Rublev A. (15)2 : 3
    7Majchrzak K. (RET.)Riedi L.0 : 0
    8Altmaier D. (RET.)De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Djokovic N. (7)Norrie C.3 : 1
    10Tiafoe F. (17)Struff J-L.0 : 3
    11Blanchet U.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    12Kym J.Fritz T. (4)1 : 3
    13Shelton B. (RET.) (6)Mannarino A.2 : 2
    14Lehecka J. (20)Collignon R.3 : 0
    15Bonzi B.Rinderknech A.1 : 3
    16Darderi L. (32)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A. (23)
    2Musetti L. (10)Munar J.
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (25)Rublev A. (15)
    4Riedi L.De Minaur A. (8)
    5Djokovic N. (7)Struff J-L.3 : 0
    6Machac T. (21)Fritz T. (4)0 : 3
    7Mannarino A.Lehecka J. (20)1 : 3
    8Rinderknech A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Djokovic N. (7)Fritz T. (4)
    4Lehecka J. (20)Alcaraz C. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2