Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draper – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 12:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
2011
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
71%66%
1st serve points won
84% (65/77)80% (52/65)
2nd serve points won
42% (13/31)65% (22/34)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
22% (14/65)18% (14/77)
2nd return points won
35% (12/34)58% (18/31)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)0% (0/2)
Winners
4137
Unforced errors
3021
Net points won
61% (19/31)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
72% (78/108)75% (74/99)
Return Points Won
25% (25/99)28% (30/108)
Total Points Won
50% (103/207)50% (104/207)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (17/17)88% (15/17)
Return games won
12% (2/17)0% (0/17)
Total games won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Arthur Rinderknech
26.1%
Jack Draper
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Rinderknech's form might have worsened.
  • Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (2.92)

    1.29
    (1.41)
    5%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Draper will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 67.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Draper (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Draper (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Draper (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 31. Draper is ranked ATP: 15.
    • Rinderknech has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Draper is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Draper is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Draper will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rinderknech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper were as follows:
    01.11.2022 Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper 0:2
    Latest results of Jack Draper
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.2 : 1
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)2 : 1
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    3Rublev A. (5)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    4Mensik J. (6)Griekspoor T.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    2Rublev A. (5)Griekspoor T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (WO.) (3)Griekspoor T.