ARUC vs Real Brasilia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
521
Shots on target
29
Corner kicks
25
Red cards
11
Total shots
521
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
312
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, ,
  • 25', 1 - 2, ,
  • 29', 1 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 🟥,
  • 75', 1 - 4, ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


ARUC
26.9%
Draw
25.5%
Real Brasilia
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 26.5% 48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 22.1% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ARUC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ARUC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Brasilia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ARUC - Real Brasilia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.61)
    3.57
    (3.45)
    1.91
    (1.9)
    9.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for ARUC - Real Brasilia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Real Brasilia (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - ARUC (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - ARUC (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. ARUC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Real Brasilia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 7).
    • ARUC is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Real Brasilia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Real Brasilia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of ARUC
    21.02.2026 Gama - ARUC 2:0
    12.02.2026 ARUC - Samambaia 0:3
    08.02.2026 Brasiliense - ARUC 2:0
    31.01.2026 ARUC - Brasília 0:1
    25.01.2026 Sobradinho - ARUC 2:1
    Latest results of Real Brasilia
    22.02.2026 Brasília - Real Brasilia 0:2
    11.02.2026 Real Brasilia - Sobradinho 0:3
    07.02.2026 Real Brasilia - Paranoá 4:5
    31.01.2026 Ceilândia - Real Brasilia 2:0
    24.01.2026 Real Brasilia - Samambaia 0:1
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 972015:41123
    2Samambaia962121:51620
    3Sobradinho952211:8317
    4Ceilandia951317:12516
    5Capital943219:10915
    6Brasiliense943213:7615
    7Real Brasilia931511:13-210
    8Paranoa92078:24-166
    9Brasilia91084:19-153
    10ARUC91083:20-173

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)