Arucas vs Gran Tarajal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Arucas - Gran Tarajal
Result
2:1
03/03/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Arucas
65.8%
Draw
20.8%
Gran Tarajal
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 22.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 16.6% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-20%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arucas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Tarajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arucas - Gran Tarajal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.45)
    4.34
    (4)
    6.75
    (6.22)
    10.7%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2.
    • Recent matches Arucas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gran Tarajal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gran Tarajal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arucas is certain favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arucas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arucas - Gran Tarajal were as follows:
    15.10.2023 Gran Tarajal - Arucas 0:1
    09.04.2023 Gran Tarajal - Arucas 0:1
    10.12.2022 Arucas - Gran Tarajal 0:1
    Latest results of Arucas
    23.02.2024 Teror - Arucas 0:3
    17.02.2024 Arucas - Unión Sur Yaiza 0:1
    09.02.2024 Tamaraceite - Arucas 3:2
    04.02.2024 Arucas - Herbania 2:2
    27.01.2024 Buzanada - Arucas 2:2
    Latest results of Gran Tarajal
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2