Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Chances of winning
UD San Fernando
70.5% | Draw
20% | Arucas
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD San Fernando's performance.Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD San Fernando that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UD San Fernando - Arucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.51) |
4.58 ↑
(3.9) |
9.62 ↑
(5.84) |
9.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2.
- UD San Fernando is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Arucas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, UD San Fernando is the team to beat.
- We predict that UD San Fernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has UD San Fernando won against Arucas?
UD San Fernando has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arucas won against UD San Fernando?
Arucas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD San Fernando - Arucas were as follows:
06.12.2025
Arucas
-
UD San Fernando
2:1
04.04.2025
Arucas
-
UD San Fernando
0:1
Latest results of UD San Fernando
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Las Palmas C | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 54 |
| 6 | Panaderia | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 39:35 | 4 | 47 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:35 | 9 | 46 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 34:31 | 3 | 44 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 39 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:42 | -7 | 35 |
| 13 | Yaiza | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 32 |
| 15 | Herbania | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 16 | Arucas | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 30 |
| 17 | Telde | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 29:66 | -37 | 25 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 27:63 | -36 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
