Aryan Shah vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Segovia Challenger Men Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 12:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
812
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
46%73%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (30/40)64% (46/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (26/47)67% (18/27)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
36% (26/72)25% (10/40)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (9/27)45% (21/47)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)60% (3/5)
Winners
3528
Unforced Errors
3725
Net Points Won
78% (18/23)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
64% (56/87)65% (64/99)
Return Points Won
35% (35/99)36% (31/87)
Total Points Won
49% (91/186)51% (95/186)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Aryan Shah
38.7%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryan Shah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aryan Shah's performance.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryan Shah than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryan Shah that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.8)

    1.53
    (1.38)
    6.8%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Aryan Shah - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shah will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shah is ranked ATP: 442. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 298.
    • Shah is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alvarez Varona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alvarez Varona is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aryan Shah
    Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ajdukovic D. (1)Shah A. (NG)1 : 2
    2Purtseladze S.Sultanov K.2 : 1
    3Bertrand R.Cui J.2 : 0
    4Soto M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Dougaz A. (3)Catry R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Sun F.Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    7Alves M.Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)0 : 2
    8Reymond A. (Q)Monday J. (5)0 : 2
    9Escoffier A. (8)Echeverria J. (Q)2 : 1
    10Shelbayh A. (Q)Butvilas E.0 : 2
    11Coulibaly E.Brancaccio R. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Soriano Barrera A. (Q)Bouquier A. (4)2 : 1
    13Chidekh C. (7)Martineau M.1 : 2
    14Jodar R. (WC)Wiskandt M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Peniston R.Loffhagen G.0 : 2
    16Gonzalez Fernandez M. (WC)Grenier H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shah A.Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    2Bertrand R.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    3Dougaz A. (3)Alvarez Varona N. (WO.)
    4Montes-De La Torre I.Monday J. (5)1 : 2
    5Escoffier A. (8)Butvilas E.1 : 2
    6Brancaccio R.Soriano Barrera A.1 : 2
    7Martineau M.Jodar R.1 : 2
    8Loffhagen G.Grenier H. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Shah A.Crawford O. (6)2 : 0
    2Alvarez Varona N.Monday J. (5)2 : 0
    3Butvilas E.Soriano Barrera A.2 : 0
    4Jodar R.Loffhagen G.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Shah A.Alvarez Varona N.1 : 2
    2Butvilas E.Loffhagen G.1 : 2

    Final
    1Alvarez Varona N.Loffhagen G.1 : 2