Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/06/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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swedenSwedenHBO Max
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Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
73%75%
1st serve points won
56% (46/82)55% (31/56)
2nd serve points won
35% (11/31)68% (13/19)
Break Points Saved
13/201/5
1st return points won
45% (25/56)44% (36/82)
2nd return points won
32% (6/19)65% (20/31)
Break Points Converted
4/57/20
Winners
4625
Unforced errors
5727
Net points won
74% (20/27)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
50% (57/113)59% (44/75)
Return Points Won
41% (31/75)50% (56/113)
Total Points Won
47% (88/188)53% (100/188)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
50% (7/14)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)50% (7/14)
Total games won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
86.4%
Diana Shnaider
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
83.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Diana Shnaider Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.13)

    7.08
    (5.87)
    4%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Diana Shnaider?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Shnaider will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 53.8%96.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - under (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 23.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Sabalenka is the clear favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Diana Shnaider
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    2Fruhvirtova L. (Q)Jacquemot E.0 : 2
    3Kasatkina D.Sonmez Z.2 : 0
    4Bandecchi S. (Q)Bucsa C. (31)2 : 1
    5Jovic I. (17)Eala A.2 : 0
    6Navarro E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Vekic D.Tubello A. (WC)2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Osaka N. (16)0 : 2
    9Mboko V. (9)Bartunkova N.2 : 0
    10Waltert S.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    11Ruzic A.Krueger A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Vandewinkel H.Keys M. (19)0 : 2
    13Shnaider D. (25)Zarazua R.2 : 0
    14Guo H. (Q)Kessler M.1 : 2
    15Pridankina E. (Q)Oliynykova O.0 : 2
    16Birrell K.Pegula J. (5)2 : 1
    17Gauff C. (4)Townsend T.2 : 0
    18Galfi D.Sherif M. (Q)0 : 2
    19Urhobo A. (WC)Boulter K.1 : 2
    20Joint M.Potapova A. (28)0 : 2
    21Kalinskaya A. (22)Boisson L.2 : 0
    22Korneeva A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    23Gibson T.Putintseva Y.1 : 2
    24Osorio C.Alexandrova E. (14)2 : 0
    25Noskova L. (12)Sakkari M.0 : 2
    26Liu C. (Q)Uchijima M. (RET.)1 : 1
    27Chwalinska M. (Q)Zheng Q.2 : 0
    28Maria T.Mertens E. (23)0 : 2
    29Li A. (30)Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Kalinina A.Parry D.1 : 2
    31Grabher J.Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 0
    32Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)Anisimova A. (6)0 : 2
    33Svitolina E. (7)Bondar A.2 : 1
    34Quevedo K. (Q)Jeanjean L. (WC)2 : 0
    35Sorribes Tormo S.Korpatsch T.0 : 2
    36Tagger L.Wang Xin. (32)1 : 2
    37Tauson C. (21)Snigur D.1 : 2
    38Kenin S.Stearns P.0 : 2
    39Tomljanovic A.McNally C.1 : 2
    40Kraus S. (Q)Bencic B. (11)0 : 2
    41Kostyuk M. (15)Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    42Volynets K.Burel C. (WC)2 : 0
    43Udvardy P.Golubic V.0 : 2
    44Parks A.Fernandez L. (24)2 : 0
    45Ostapenko J. (29)Seidel E.2 : 0
    46Valentova T.Linette M.1 : 2
    47Bejlek S.Stephens S. (Q)2 : 0
    48Jones E. (WC)Swiatek I. (3)0 : 2
    49Andreeva M. (8)Ferro F. (WC)2 : 0
    50Bassols M. (Q)Arango E.2 : 0
    51Jones F.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    52Bronzetti L. (Q)Bouzkova M. (27)0 : 2
    53Samsonova L. (20)Teichmann J.0 : 2
    54Frech M.Ruse G. (RET.)1 : 0
    55Rakhimova K.Cristian J.2 : 1
    56Zakharova A.Muchova K. (10)0 : 2
    57Paolini J. (13)Yastremska D.2 : 0
    58Raducanu E.Sierra S.0 : 2
    59Marcinko P.Lys E.0 : 2
    60Efremova K. (WC)Cirstea S. (18)0 : 2
    61Baptiste H. (26)Krejcikova B.2 : 1
    62Kovinic D.Wang Xiy. (Q)0 : 2
    63Blinkova A.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    64Erjavec V.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Jacquemot E.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Bandecchi S.2 : 0
    3Jovic I. (17)Navarro E.2 : 0
    4Vekic D.Osaka N. (16)0 : 2
    5Mboko V. (9)Siniakova K.2 : 1
    6Ruzic A.Keys M. (19)0 : 2
    7Shnaider D. (25)Kessler M.2 : 0
    8Oliynykova O.Birrell K.2 : 1
    9Gauff C. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    10Boulter K.Potapova A. (28)1 : 2
    11Kalinskaya A. (22)Korneeva A.2 : 0
    12Putintseva Y.Osorio C.1 : 2
    13Sakkari M.Liu C.2 : 1
    14Chwalinska M.Mertens E. (23)2 : 0
    15Li A. (30)Parry D.0 : 2
    16Grabher J. (RET.)Anisimova A. (6)0 : 1
    17Svitolina E. (7)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    18Korpatsch T.Wang Xin. (32)2 : 1
    19Snigur D.Stearns P.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Bencic B. (11)0 : 2
    21Kostyuk M. (15)Volynets K.2 : 1
    22Golubic V.Parks A.2 : 0
    23Ostapenko J. (29)Linette M.1 : 2
    24Bejlek S.Swiatek I. (3)0 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Bassols M.2 : 1
    26Jones F.Bouzkova M. (27)0 : 2
    27Teichmann J.Frech M.2 : 0
    28Rakhimova K.Muchova K. (10)0 : 2
    29Paolini J. (13)Sierra S.1 : 2
    30Lys E.Cirstea S. (18)0 : 2
    31Baptiste H. (RET.) (26)Wang Xiy.0 : 0
    32Starodubtseva Y.Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 0
    2Jovic I. (17)Osaka N. (16)1 : 2
    3Mboko V. (9)Keys M. (19)1 : 2
    4Shnaider D. (25)Oliynykova O.2 : 0
    5Gauff C. (4)Potapova A. (28)1 : 2
    6Kalinskaya A. (22)Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Sakkari M.Chwalinska M.1 : 2
    8Parry D.Anisimova A. (6)2 : 1
    9Svitolina E. (7)Korpatsch T.2 : 0
    10Stearns P.Bencic B. (11)0 : 2
    11Kostyuk M. (15)Golubic V.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Swiatek I. (3)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Bouzkova M. (27)2 : 0
    14Teichmann J.Muchova K. (10)2 : 0
    15Sierra S.Cirstea S. (18)0 : 2
    16Wang Xiy.Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    2Keys M. (19)Shnaider D. (25)1 : 2
    3Potapova A. (28)Kalinskaya A. (22)1 : 2
    4Chwalinska M.Parry D.2 : 0
    5Svitolina E. (7)Bencic B. (11)2 : 1
    6Kostyuk M. (15)Swiatek I. (3)2 : 0
    7Andreeva M. (8)Teichmann J.2 : 0
    8Cirstea S. (18)Wang Xiy.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Shnaider D. (25)1 : 2
    2Kalinskaya A. (22)Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    3Svitolina E. (7)Kostyuk M. (15)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (8)Cirstea S. (18)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shnaider D. (25)Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    2Kostyuk M. (15)Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Chwalinska M.Andreeva M. (8)0 : 2