Result
2:0
10/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (27/34) | 67% (24/36) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 29% (7/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (12/36) | 29% (10/34) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 52% (12/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (38/57) | 53% (31/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 33% (19/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (66/116) | 43% (50/116) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
54.7% | Elena Rybakina
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aryna Sabalenka's form might have worsened.Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Rybakina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.51) |
|
2.15 ↓
(2.31) |
4%
(9.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Rybakina will win (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 54.4% – 89.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 3 - 60%). Rybakina (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 9.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2.
- Sabalenka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Rybakina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sabalenka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Elena Rybakina?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Elena Rybakina has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
15.08.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
20.06.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
2:1
06.11.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
1:2
02.05.2024
Elena Rybakina
-
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
06.01.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sramkova R. | Kalinskaya A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Kenin S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Arango E. (LL) | Samsonova L. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Osaka N. (11) | Fernandez L. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Noskova L. | Putintseva Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kessler M. | Cristian J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Rybakina E. (8) | |
| 9 | Jovic I. (LL) | Bye | |
| 10 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhu L. | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Siniakova K. (Q) | Shnaider D. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Mboko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Raducanu E. (RET.) | Li A. | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Krueger A. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Pegula J. (6) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Yastremska D. (RET.) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 1 |
| 19 | Frech M. | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Kostyuk M. | Muchova K. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Navarro E. (14) | Zhang S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Ostapenko J. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 23 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Gauff C. (3) | |
| 25 | Paolini J. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bronzetti L. (Q) | Yuan Y. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Danilovic O. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Bencic B. (13) | Vekic D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Mertens E. | Kudermetova P. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Osorio C. (WC) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kenin S. | Samsonova L. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Osaka N. (11) | Noskova L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cristian J. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Jovic I. | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Joint M. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Baptiste H. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (5) | Siegemund L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Muchova K. (RET.) (12) | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Zhang S. | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Uchijima M. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paolini J. (7) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Ruzic A. | Tauson C. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bencic B. (WO.) (13) | Mertens E. | |
| 16 | Bouzkova M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Samsonova L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. | Rybakina E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Jovic I. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Alexandrova E. (9) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Siegemund L. | Frech M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhang S. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paolini J. (7) | Tauson C. (RET.) (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Bencic B. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Siniakova K. | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Siegemund L. | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Paolini J. (7) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pegula J. (6) | Gauff C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
