Result
1:2
31/01/2026 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | HBO Max |
 Canada | RDS App |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | HBO Max |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Denmark | HBO Max |
 Finland | HBO Max, TV5 |
 France | HBO Max |
 Hungary | HBO Max |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | HBO Max |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | HBO Max |
 Romania | HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | HBO Max, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | HBO Max, Kanal 9 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ |
 Usa | ESPN USA |
 Venezuela | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 55% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (40/53) | 76% (41/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 48% (21/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 75% (6/8) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 177 km/h | 178 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 141 km/h | 138 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (15/54) | 30% (16/53) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 52% (17/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 63% (62/98) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (36/98) | 35% (30/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (92/184) | 50% (92/184) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
59.5% | Elena Rybakina
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.5) |
|
2.38 ↓
(2.64) |
3.9%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 27 - 60%). Rybakina will win (votes: 18 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 45.7% – 74.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Rybakina (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 7.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 23 Games - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (2.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Games - Sabalenka (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 37 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 28 - 75.7%). Rybakina (votes: 9 - 24.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 5.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 2.
- Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.
- Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sabalenka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Elena Rybakina?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Elena Rybakina has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
08.11.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
10.10.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
2:0
15.08.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
20.06.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
2:1
06.11.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
1:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Bai Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Lamens S. | Potapova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Sawangkaew M. | Raducanu E. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mboko V. (17) | Jones E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | McNally C. | Sakatsume H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kudermetova P. | Maristany G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Galfi D. | Tauson C. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Sonmez Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bondar A. | Mandlik E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Putintseva Y. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Jacquemot E. | Kostyuk M. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Jovic I. (29) | Volynets K. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hon P. (WC) | Stakusic M. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Erjavec V. | Frech M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Danilovic O. | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Hunter S. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Baptiste H. | Townsend T. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Muchova K. (19) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Parks A. | Eala A. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Li A. | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Linette M. | Navarro E. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Svitolina E. (12) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Klimovicova L. (Q) | Jones F. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 27 | Gibson T. (WC) | Blinkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Krejcikova B. | Shnaider D. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Yastremska D. (26) | Ruse G. | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | Tomljanovic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Vekic D. | Andreeva M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Pegula J. (6) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 34 | Arango E. | Kessler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Selekhmeteva O. | Seidel E. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Diyas Z. (WC) | Badosa P. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Fernandez L. (22) | Tjen J. | 0 : 2 |
| 38 | Pliskova Ka. | Stephens S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Krueger A. | Bejlek S. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Oliynykova O. | Keys M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Noskova L. (13) | Semenistaja D. | 2 : 0 |
| 42 | Zhang S. | Preston T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Wang Xin. | Kalinina A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Sramkova R. | Ostapenko J. (24) | 0 : 2 |
| 45 | Kenin S. (27) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 46 | Marcinko P. | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 47 | Udvardy P. | Siniakova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Waltert S. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Rybakina E. (5) | Juvan K. | 2 : 0 |
| 50 | Gracheva V. | Golubic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Sun L. | Fruhvirtova L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Valentova T. | Joint M. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 53 | Mertens E. (21) | Tararudee L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 54 | Sierra S. | Uchijima M. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Kasatkina D. | Bartunkova N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Boulter K. | Bencic B. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Osaka N. (16) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 58 | Cirstea S. | Lys E. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Inglis M. (Q) | Birrell K. | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Siegemund L. | Samsonova L. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 61 | Kalinskaya A. (31) | Kartal S. | 2 : 0 |
| 62 | Grabher J. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 1 |
| 63 | Zarazua R. | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Yuan Y. (Q) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bai Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Potapova A. | Raducanu E. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mboko V. (17) | McNally C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kudermetova P. | Tauson C. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Sonmez Z. | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Putintseva Y. | Jacquemot E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Jovic I. (29) | Hon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Frech M. | Paolini J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Danilovic O. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Hunter S. | Baptiste H. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Muchova K. (19) | Parks A. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Li A. | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Svitolina E. (12) | Klimovicova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gibson T. | Shnaider D. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Ruse G. | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sakkari M. | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (6) | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Selekhmeteva O. | Badosa P. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Tjen J. | Pliskova Ka. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Krueger A. | Keys M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Noskova L. (13) | Preston T. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Wang Xin. | Ostapenko J. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Stearns P. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Siniakova K. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (5) | Gracheva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Fruhvirtova L. | Valentova T. | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Mertens E. (21) | Uchijima M. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bartunkova N. | Bencic B. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Osaka N. (16) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Inglis M. | Siegemund L. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Kalinskaya A. (31) | Grabher J. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bouzkova M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mboko V. (17) | Tauson C. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sonmez Z. | Putintseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jovic I. (29) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Muchova K. (19) | Linette M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Svitolina E. (12) | Shnaider D. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Ruse G. | Andreeva M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (6) | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Pliskova Ka. | Keys M. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Noskova L. (13) | Wang Xin. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Stearns P. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (5) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Mertens E. (21) | Bartunkova N. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Osaka N. (16) | Inglis M. (WO.) | |
| 16 | Kalinskaya A. (31) | Swiatek I. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mboko V. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Putintseva Y. | Jovic I. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Muchova K. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (12) | Andreeva M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (6) | Keys M. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wang Xin. | Anisimova A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (5) | Mertens E. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Inglis M. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Jovic I. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (3) | Svitolina E. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (6) | Anisimova A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rybakina E. (5) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Svitolina E. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (6) | Rybakina E. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (5) | 1 : 2 |
