Result
0:2
15/08/2025 at 12:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 56% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 81% (29/36) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 100% (5/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 39% (9/23) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 45% (9/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (26/43) | 70% (45/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 40% (17/43) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (45/107) | 58% (62/107) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
59.7% | Elena Rybakina
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.53) |
|
2.37 ↓
(2.5) |
5.2%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 17 - 63%). Rybakina will win (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 44.8% – 81.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rybakina (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 10.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3.
- Sabalenka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rybakina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rybakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sabalenka might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Elena Rybakina?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Elena Rybakina has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina were as follows:
20.06.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
2:1
06.11.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
1:2
02.05.2024
Elena Rybakina
-
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
06.01.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Elena Rybakina
0:2
22.12.2023
Elena Rybakina
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:1
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Elena Rybakina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Vondrousova M. | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Danilovic O. | Boulter K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Raducanu E. (30) | |
| 5 | Fernandez L. (21) | Bye | |
| 6 | Williams V. (WC) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Collins D. | Townsend T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Samsonova L. (13) | |
| 9 | Rybakina E. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zarazua R. | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Ngounoue C. (Q) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Mertens E. (19) | |
| 13 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Ito A. (Q) | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Pera B. (WC) | Lys E. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Keys M. (6) | |
| 17 | Swiatek I. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Potapova A. | Siegemund L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Osuigwe W. (Q) | Maria T. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (25) | |
| 21 | Frech M. (22) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bucsa C. (LL) | Yuan Y. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Shnaider D. (14) | |
| 25 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Bye | |
| 26 | Sun L. | Ruzic A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Joint M. | Minnen G. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (18) | |
| 29 | Kalinskaya A. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Stearns P. | Wang Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Starodubtseva Y. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Anisimova A. (5) | |
| 33 | Navarro E. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kudermetova P. | Seidel E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | McNally C. (WC) | Inglis M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Kessler M. (29) | |
| 37 | Kenin S. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Gracheva V. (Q) | Volynets K. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Kartal S. | Garcia C. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 41 | Tauson C. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Bondar A. | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Lamens S. | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Bencic B. (17) | |
| 45 | Linette M. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Dolehide C. | Sramkova R. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Blinkova A. | Birrell K. | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (4) | |
| 49 | Paolini J. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Rakhimova K. (Q) | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Sevastova A. | Bektas E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Krueger A. (26) | |
| 53 | Noskova L. (20) | Bye | |
| 54 | Jovic I. (LL) | Sierra S. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Parks A. | Krejcikova B. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Svitolina E. (10) | |
| 57 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Zhu L. | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | Uchijima M. | Osorio C. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (23) | |
| 61 | Yastremska D. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Li A. | Tomova V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Wang Xin. | Arango E. | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Vondrousova M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Danilovic O. | Raducanu E. (30) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Fernandez L. (21) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Townsend T. | Samsonova L. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rybakina E. (9) | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Ngounoue C. | Mertens E. (19) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Ito A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lys E. | Keys M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Swiatek I. (3) | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Maria T. | Kostyuk M. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Frech M. (22) | Cirstea S. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Yuan Y. | Shnaider D. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Joint M. | Haddad Maia B. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Kalinskaya A. (28) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jeanjean L. | Anisimova A. (WO.) (5) | |
| 17 | Navarro E. (8) | Seidel E. | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | McNally C. | Kessler M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Kenin S. (24) | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Garcia C. | Muchova K. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Tauson C. (16) | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Kudermetova V. | Bencic B. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Linette M. (31) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Birrell K. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Paolini J. (7) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Sevastova A. | Krueger A. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Noskova L. (20) | Jovic I. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Krejcikova B. | Svitolina E. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 29 | Kasatkina D. (15) | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Osorio C. | Ostapenko J. (WO.) (23) | |
| 31 | Yastremska D. (32) | Tomova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Wang Xin. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Raducanu E. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rybakina E. (9) | Mertens E. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ito A. | Keys M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Swiatek I. (WO.) (3) | Kostyuk M. (25) | |
| 6 | Cirstea S. | Yuan Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Joint M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kalinskaya A. (28) | Anisimova A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Seidel E. | Kessler M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Gracheva V. | Muchova K. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Tauson C. (16) | Kudermetova V. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Linette M. (31) | Pegula J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Paolini J. (7) | Krueger A. (26) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jovic I. | Krejcikova B. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bronzetti L. | Ostapenko J. (23) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Yastremska D. (32) | Gauff C. (WO.) (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rybakina E. (9) | Keys M. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Swiatek I. (3) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Seidel E. | Gracheva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kudermetova V. | Linette M. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Paolini J. (7) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bronzetti L. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Swiatek I. (3) | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gracheva V. | Kudermetova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Paolini J. (7) | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rybakina E. (9) | Swiatek I. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Swiatek I. (3) | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
