Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Stuttgart Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini
Result
2:0
20/04/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
55%76%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (26/37)56% (28/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (10/30)31% (5/16)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
44% (22/50)30% (11/37)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (11/16)67% (20/30)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
54% (36/67)50% (33/66)
Return Points Won
50% (33/66)46% (31/67)
Total Points Won
52% (69/133)48% (64/133)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)45% (5/11)
Return Games Won
55% (6/11)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
77.8%
Jasmine Paolini
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.1% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.19)

    4.26
    (4)
    5.1%
    (9%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Paolini will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 67.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aryna Sabalenka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Paolini is ranked WTA: 6.
    • Sabalenka in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Paolini is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Paolini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    04.11.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    05.10.2023 Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Potapova A.Tauson C.2 : 1
    3Sasnovich A. (Q)Mertens E.0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (Q)Shnaider D. (8)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Bye
    6Maria T. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)1 : 2
    7Niemeier J. (WC)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 1
    8Lys E. (WC)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    10Alexandrova E.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    11Frech M.Errani S. (LL)2 : 1
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Navarro E. (7)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    14Ostapenko J.Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    15Vekic D.Fett J. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Potapova A.
    2Mertens E.Shnaider D. (8)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (4)Seidel E.2 : 0
    4Niemeier J.Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    6Frech M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (7)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    8Fett J.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    4Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    2Alexandrova E.Ostapenko J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ostapenko J.0 : 2