Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Italy | Super Tennis |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 73% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 49% (23/47) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 24% (4/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 56% (9/16) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 42% (18/43) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 45% (10/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 36% (4/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (37/65) | 42% (27/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (37/64) | 43% (28/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (74/129) | 43% (55/129) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 40% (4/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
74.8% | Jessica Pegula
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.29) |
|
3.74 ↑
(3.32) |
5.1%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 33 - 89.2%). Pegula will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 79.2% – 99.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Pegula is ranked WTA: 4.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.
- Sabalenka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Pegula is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:4 (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Jessica Pegula?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
07.09.2024
Jessica Pegula
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
19.08.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
31.10.2023
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Jessica Pegula
0:2
04.11.2022
Jessica Pegula
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Tomova V. | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ruse G. (Q) | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Frech M. (29) | |
| 5 | Vekic D. (21) | Bye | |
| 6 | Masarova R. (Q) | Minnen G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Cirstea S. | Cocciaretto E. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Collins D. (14) | |
| 9 | Zheng Q. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Davis L. | Ito A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Townsend T. (Q) | Li A. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (19) | |
| 13 | Fernandez L. (26) | Bye | |
| 14 | Gracheva V. | Parks A. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Zarazua R. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Rybakina E. (7) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Kvitova P. (WC) | Kenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Bronzetti L. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Sakkari M. (28) | |
| 21 | Alexandrova E. (18) | Bye | |
| 22 | Pavlyuchenkova A. | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Liu C. (Q) | Fruhvirtova L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (16) | |
| 25 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Bye | |
| 26 | Danilovic O. | Baptiste H. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Osaka N. | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Samsonova L. (24) | |
| 29 | Jabeur O. (31) | Bye | |
| 30 | Yuan Y. | Siniakova K. | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Stefanini L. (Q) | Sramkova R. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Paolini J. (6) | |
| 33 | Navarro E. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Ishii S. (WC) | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Kessler M. | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Noskova L. (30) | |
| 37 | Anisimova A. (17) | Bye | |
| 38 | Sherif M. | Sun L. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Kudermetova V. | Wang Xin. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Andreeva M. (11) | |
| 41 | Shnaider D. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Rakhimova K. | Blinkova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Potapova A. | Birrell K. (Q/LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (23) | |
| 45 | Kalinskaya A. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Lamens S. | Uchijima M. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Tomljanovic A. (WC) | Pera B. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (4) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Andreeva E. (WC) | Avanesyan E. | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Eala A. (WC) | Volynets K. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (25) | |
| 53 | Tauson C. (20) | Bye | |
| 54 | Grant T. C. (WC) | Grabher J. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Osorio C. | Mboko V. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Badosa P. (10) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Kalinina A. | Azarenka V. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Yastremska D. | Bencic B. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Svitolina E. (22) | |
| 61 | Mertens E. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Boulter K. | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Garcia C. | Bondar A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Tomova V. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruse G. | Frech M. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Vekic D. (21) | Masarova R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cirstea S. | Collins D. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Zheng Q. (9) | Davis L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Townsend T. | Putintseva Y. (19) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Fernandez L. (26) | Parks A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Krueger A. | Rybakina E. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (3) | Kenin S. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bronzetti L. | Sakkari M. (28) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Alexandrova E. (18) | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Fruhvirtova L. | Haddad Maia B. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Kasatkina D. (12) | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Osaka N. | Samsonova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Jabeur O. (31) | Siniakova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sramkova R. | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Navarro E. (8) | Raducanu E. | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Kessler M. | Noskova L. (30) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Anisimova A. (17) | Sherif M. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Kudermetova V. | Andreeva M. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (13) | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Birrell K. | Kostyuk M. (23) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Kalinskaya A. (32) | Uchijima M. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Pera B. | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (5) | Avanesyan E. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Eala A. | Ostapenko J. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Tauson C. (20) | Grabher J. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Mboko V. | Badosa P. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (15) | Azarenka V. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bencic B. | Svitolina E. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Mertens E. (27) | Stearns P. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Garcia C. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Ruse G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Masarova R. | Collins D. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zheng Q. (9) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Fernandez L. (26) | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (3) | Sakkari M. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Linette M. | Fruhvirtova L. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Baptiste H. | Osaka N. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Jabeur O. (RET.) (31) | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Raducanu E. | Kessler M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Anisimova A. (17) | Andreeva M. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Blinkova A. | Kostyuk M. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kalinskaya A. (32) | Pegula J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Keys M. (5) | Eala A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Tauson C. (20) | Badosa P. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (15) | Svitolina E. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Mertens E. (27) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Collins D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng Q. (9) | Krueger A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gauff C. (3) | Linette M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Osaka N. | Paolini J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Raducanu E. | Anisimova A. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Kostyuk M. (23) | Pegula J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Eala A. (WO.) | Badosa P. (10) | |
| 8 | Svitolina E. (22) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Zheng Q. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Linette M. | Paolini J. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Raducanu E. | Pegula J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Eala A. | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Paolini J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (4) | Eala A. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Pegula J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
