Result
2:1
04/11/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 France | beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 65% (42/65) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (20/34) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 75% (12/16) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (25/65) | 35% (17/48) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 41% (14/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 50% (4/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (51/82) | 59% (55/93) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (38/93) | 38% (31/82) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (89/175) | 49% (86/175) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (14/27) | 48% (13/27) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
73.4% | Jessica Pegula
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.33) |
|
3.54 ↑
(3.38) |
5.3%
(5.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aryna Sabalenka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Pegula is ranked WTA: 6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.
- Now, both players are in good form.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Jessica Pegula?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Jessica Pegula has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula were as follows:
11.10.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Jessica Pegula
1:2
04.09.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Jessica Pegula
2:1
29.03.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
07.09.2024
Jessica Pegula
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
19.08.2024
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Jessica Pegula
2:0
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Jessica Pegula
Draw
Singles - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Anisimova A. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pegula J. (5) | Rybakina E. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
