Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN

Match Stats


Aces
10	5
Double Faults
3	4
1st Serve Percentage
66%	68%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (41/67)	53% (37/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
20% (7/35)	48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
42% (5/12)	53% (9/17)
1st Return Points Won
47% (33/70)	39% (26/67)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (17/33)	80% (28/35)
Break Points Converted
47% (8/17)	58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
48% (48/101)	51% (53/103)
Return Points Won
49% (50/103)	52% (53/101)
Total Points Won
48% (98/204)	52% (106/204)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
3	0
Service Games Won
53% (8/15)	47% (7/15)
Return Games Won
53% (8/15)	47% (7/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)	47% (14/30)

Chances of winning

Aryna Sabalenka
76.3%

Jessica Pegula
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.26)		4.23 ↑ (3.99)	2.8% (4.6%)

What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Pegula will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 53.8% – 96.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Pegula is ranked WTA: 6.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.
Sabalenka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Pegula is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sabalenka is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Jessica Pegula?

Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Aryna Sabalenka?

Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula were as follows:

04.09.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula 2:1

29.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula 2:0

07.09.2024 Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2

19.08.2024 Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula 2:0

31.10.2023 Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula 0:2

Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka

10.10.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina 2:0 ✺

09.10.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0 ✺

08.10.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Rebecca Sramkova 2:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Amanda Anisimova 2:0 ✺

04.09.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Jessica Pegula

09.10.2025 Katerina Siniakova - Jessica Pegula 1:2 ✺

08.10.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Jessica Pegula 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Jessica Pegula - Linda Noskova 1:2 ✺

03.10.2025 Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Sramkova R.	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 1
3	Zakharova A. (Q)	Kenin S.	1 : 2
4	Arango E. (LL)	Samsonova L. (16)	0 : 2
5	Osaka N. (11)	Fernandez L.	2 : 1
6	Noskova L.	Putintseva Y. (Q)	2 : 1
7	Kessler M.	Cristian J.	1 : 2
8	Bye	Rybakina E. (8)
9	Jovic I. (LL)	Bye
10	Gracheva V. (Q)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
11	Zhu L.	Joint M.	0 : 2
12	Siniakova K. (Q)	Shnaider D. (15)	2 : 0
13	Alexandrova E. (9)	Mboko V.	2 : 0
14	Raducanu E. (RET.)	Li A.	0 : 1
15	Krueger A.	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Pegula J. (6)
17	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
18	Yastremska D. (RET.)	Siegemund L.	1 : 1
19	Frech M.	Kudermetova V.	2 : 1
20	Kostyuk M.	Muchova K. (12)	1 : 2
21	Navarro E. (14)	Zhang S. (WC)	1 : 2
22	Cirstea S.	Ostapenko J. (RET.)	1 : 0
23	Uchijima M. (Q)	Wang Xin.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Gauff C. (3)
25	Paolini J. (7)	Bye
26	Bronzetti L. (Q)	Yuan Y. (WC)	0 : 2
27	Ruzic A. (Q)	Linette M.	2 : 0
28	Danilovic O.	Tauson C. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bencic B. (13)	Vekic D. (WC)	2 : 0
30	Mertens E.	Kudermetova P. (Q)	2 : 0
31	Osorio C. (WC)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Sramkova R.	2 : 1
2	Kenin S.	Samsonova L. (16)	1 : 2
3	Osaka N. (11)	Noskova L.	0 : 2
4	Cristian J.	Rybakina E. (8)	0 : 2
5	Jovic I.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
6	Joint M.	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
7	Alexandrova E. (9)	Li A.	2 : 0
8	Baptiste H.	Pegula J. (6)	1 : 2
9	Andreeva M. (5)	Siegemund L.	1 : 2
10	Frech M.	Muchova K. (RET.) (12)	1 : 0
11	Zhang S.	Cirstea S.	2 : 1
12	Uchijima M.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
13	Paolini J. (7)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
14	Ruzic A.	Tauson C. (10)	0 : 2
15	Bencic B. (WO.) (13)	Mertens E.
16	Bouzkova M.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Samsonova L. (16)	2 : 0
2	Noskova L.	Rybakina E. (8)	0 : 2
3	Jovic I.	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
4	Alexandrova E. (9)	Pegula J. (6)	1 : 2
5	Siegemund L.	Frech M.	2 : 0
6	Zhang S.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
7	Paolini J. (7)	Tauson C. (RET.) (10)	1 : 1
8	Bencic B. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (8)	2 : 0
2	Siniakova K.	Pegula J. (6)	1 : 2
3	Siegemund L.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
4	Paolini J. (7)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Pegula J. (6)	1 : 2
2	Gauff C. (3)	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 0

Final

1

Pegula J. (6)

Gauff C. (3)

0 : 2