Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Indian Wells Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler
Result
2:0
08/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilESPN 3
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
63%69%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (31/36)65% (34/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (13/21)52% (12/23)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)33% (1/3)
1st Return Points Won
35% (18/52)14% (5/36)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (11/23)38% (8/21)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
77% (44/57)61% (46/75)
Return Points Won
39% (29/75)23% (13/57)
Total Points Won
55% (73/132)45% (59/132)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
78.3%
McCartney Kessler
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
85.8% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aryna Sabalenka's form might have worsened.
  • McCartney Kessler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting McCartney Kessler's recent form is better than expected.
  • Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.1)

    4.37
    (6.59)
    4.9%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Kessler will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Kessler is ranked WTA: 48.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of McCartney Kessler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Blinkova A.Kessler M.0 : 2
    3Kalinina A.Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    4ByeFrech M. (30)
    5Alexandrova E. (20)Bye
    6Liu C. (Q)Kudermetova P.0 : 2
    7Kartal S. (LL)Lepchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    8ByeHaddad Maia B. (16)
    9Kasatkina D. (12)Bye
    10Inglis M.Kenin S.0 : 2
    11Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q)McNally C.0 : 1
    12ByeSamsonova L. (24)
    13Fernandez L. (27)Bye
    14Kudermetova V.Cristian J.0 : 2
    15Jovic I. (WC)Grabher J.2 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Raducanu E.Uchijima M.0 : 2
    19Danilovic O.Tomova V.0 : 2
    20ByeSakkari M. (29)
    21Anisimova A. (17)Bye
    22Bencic B. (WC)Maria T.2 : 0
    23Parks A. (WC)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    24ByeShnaider D. (13)
    25Navarro E. (10)Bye
    26Cirstea S.Joint M. (Q)2 : 0
    27Davis L.Avanesyan E.0 : 2
    28ByeVekic D. (19)
    29Mertens E. (28)Bye
    30Golubic V. (Q)Birrell K. (Q)0 : 2
    31Bouzas Maneiro J.Potapova A.1 : 2
    32ByeKeys M. (5)
    33Rybakina E. (7)Bye
    34Bouzkova M.Lamens S.1 : 2
    35Begu I.Li A.2 : 1
    36ByeBoulter K. (25)
    37Tauson C. (22)Bye
    38Osorio C.Osaka N.2 : 0
    39Kvitova P. (WC)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    40ByeAndreeva M. (9)
    41Collins D. (14)Bye
    42Baptiste H. (Q)Osuigwe W. (Q)2 : 0
    43Krueger A.Volynets K.2 : 1
    44ByeSvitolina E. (23)
    45Ostapenko J. (26)Bye
    46Sherif M.Wang Xin.0 : 2
    47Stearns P.Linette M.1 : 2
    48ByePegula J. (4)
    49Zheng Q. (8)Bye
    50Ngounoue C. (Q)Azarenka V.0 : 2
    51Sramkova R.Sun L.1 : 2
    52ByeNoskova L. (31)
    53Kostyuk M. (18)Bye
    54Niemeier J. (Q)Montgomery R. (WC)1 : 2
    55Rakhimova K.Dolehide C. (WC)0 : 2
    56ByeLys E. (LL)
    57Muchova K. (15)Bye
    58Zarazua R. (RET.)Cocciaretto E.0 : 1
    59Carle M. L. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    60ByePutintseva Y. (21)
    61Jabeur O. (32)Bye
    62Yastremska D.Yuan Y.2 : 0
    63Garcia C.Pera B. (WC)2 : 0
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kessler M.2 : 0
    2Bronzetti L.Frech M. (30)2 : 0
    3Alexandrova E. (20)Kudermetova P.0 : 2
    4Kartal S.Haddad Maia B. (16)2 : 0
    5Kasatkina D. (12)Kenin S.2 : 1
    6McNally C.Samsonova L. (24)0 : 2
    7Fernandez L. (27)Cristian J.1 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    9Gauff C. (3)Uchijima M.2 : 1
    10Tomova V.Sakkari M. (29)0 : 2
    11Anisimova A. (17)Bencic B.1 : 2
    12Parks A.Shnaider D. (13)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (10)Cirstea S.2 : 1
    14Avanesyan E.Vekic D. (19)0 : 2
    15Mertens E. (28)Birrell K.2 : 0
    16Potapova A.Keys M. (5)0 : 2
    17Rybakina E. (7)Lamens S.2 : 0
    18Begu I.Boulter K. (25)1 : 2
    19Tauson C. (22)Osorio C.2 : 0
    20Gracheva V.Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    21Collins D. (14)Baptiste H.2 : 1
    22Krueger A.Svitolina E. (23)1 : 2
    23Ostapenko J. (26)Wang Xin.0 : 2
    24Linette M.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    25Zheng Q. (8)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    26Sun L.Noskova L. (31)2 : 0
    27Kostyuk M. (18)Montgomery R.2 : 0
    28Dolehide C.Lys E.2 : 0
    29Muchova K. (15)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    30Siniakova K.Putintseva Y. (21)2 : 0
    31Jabeur O. (32)Yastremska D.0 : 2
    32Garcia C.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    2Kudermetova P.Kartal S.0 : 2
    3Kasatkina D. (12)Samsonova L. (24)1 : 2
    4Cristian J.Paolini J. (6)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Sakkari M. (29)2 : 0
    6Bencic B.Shnaider D. (13)2 : 0
    7Navarro E. (10)Vekic D. (19)0 : 2
    8Mertens E. (28)Keys M. (5)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (7)Boulter K. (25)2 : 0
    10Tauson C. (22)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    11Collins D. (14)Svitolina E. (23)0 : 2
    12Wang Xin.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Zheng Q. (8)Sun L.2 : 0
    14Kostyuk M. (18)Dolehide C.2 : 0
    15Muchova K. (15)Siniakova K.2 : 0
    16Yastremska D.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kartal S.2 : 0
    2Samsonova L. (24)Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (3)Bencic B.1 : 2
    4Vekic D. (19)Keys M. (5)1 : 2
    5Rybakina E. (7)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    6Svitolina E. (23)Pegula J. (4)2 : 1
    7Zheng Q. (8)Kostyuk M. (18)2 : 0
    8Muchova K. (15)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Samsonova L. (24)2 : 0
    2Bencic B.Keys M. (5)0 : 2
    3Andreeva M. (9)Svitolina E. (23)2 : 0
    4Zheng Q. (8)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Keys M. (5)2 : 0
    2Andreeva M. (9)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Andreeva M. (9)1 : 2