Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Kudermetova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova
Result
2:0
27/08/2025 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaHBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicEurosport 1, HBO Max
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1, HBO Max
finlandFinlandEurosport 1, HBO Max
franceFranceEurosport 1, HBO Max
germanyGermanyEurosport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
hungaryHungaryEurosport 1, HBO Max
italyItalySuper Tennis
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayEurosport 1, HBO Max
polandPolandEurosport 1, HBO Max
portugalPortugalEurosport 1
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1, HBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainEurosport 1, HBO Max
swedenSwedenEurosport 1, HBO Max
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
59
1st Serve Percentage
61%51%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (35/45)81% (30/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (14/29)33% (12/36)
Break Points Saved
89% (8/9)40% (2/5)
Average 1st Serve Speed
168 km/h157 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
141 km/h136 km/h
1st Return Points Won
38% (14/37)22% (10/45)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (24/36)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)11% (1/9)
Winners
1724
Unforced Errors
2233
Net Points Won
33% (1/3)92% (11/12)
Service Points Won
65% (49/75)58% (42/73)
Return Points Won
42% (31/73)35% (26/75)
Total Points Won
54% (80/148)46% (68/148)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)
Distance Covered (metres)
9941046

Chances of winning


Aryna Sabalenka
93%
Polina Kudermetova
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
95.4% 4.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.03
    (1.02)

    13.41
    (21)
    4.5%
    (2.8%)
    What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kudermetova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 67.
    • Sabalenka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kudermetova has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Sabalenka is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Polina Kudermetova 2:1
    Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
    Latest results of Polina Kudermetova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)1 : 2
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.2 : 1
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.2 : 0
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.2 : 1
    5Kostyuk M. (27)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    6Osaka N. (23)Gauff C. (3)2 : 0
    7Anisimova A. (8)Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Vondrousova M.
    2Pegula J. (4)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    3Muchova K. (11)Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    4Anisimova A. (8)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)2 : 1
    2Osaka N. (23)Anisimova A. (8)1 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Anisimova A. (8)2 : 0