Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	9
Double Faults
5	8
1st serve percentage
63%	59%
1st serve points won
70% (37/53)	73% (35/48)
2nd serve points won
65% (20/31)	44% (15/34)
Break Points Saved
5/5	7/8
1st return points won
31% (15/48)	32% (17/53)
2nd return points won
56% (19/34)	35% (11/31)
Break Points Converted
1/8	0/5
Service Points Won
68% (57/84)	61% (50/82)
Return Points Won
39% (32/82)	32% (27/84)
Total Points Won
54% (89/166)	46% (77/166)
Last 10 balls
5	5
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
100% (11/11)	91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)	0% (0/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)	45% (10/22)

Chances of winning

Aryna Sabalenka
74.5%

Victoria Mboko
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Victoria Mboko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.2)		3.72 ↓ (4.49)	4.1% (5.6%)

What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mboko will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mboko: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 50%). Mboko (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -5.5 Games - Mboko (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Mboko (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Mboko is ranked WTA: 10.
Sabalenka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Mboko has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Sabalenka is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Victoria Mboko?

Aryna Sabalenka has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Victoria Mboko won against Aryna Sabalenka?

Victoria Mboko has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko were as follows:

24.01.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko 2:0

Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka

10.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Jaqueline Adina Cristian 2:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Himeno Sakatsume 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina 1:2 ✺

29.01.2026 Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Victoria Mboko

10.03.2026 Victoria Mboko - Amanda Anisimova 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Victoria Mboko - Anna Kalinskaya 2:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Victoria Mboko - Kimberly Birrell 2:0 ✺

16.02.2026 Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Victoria Mboko Canceled ✺

14.02.2026 Karolina Muchova - Victoria Mboko 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Sakatsume H. (Q)	Parks A. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Cristian J.	Tjen J.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Joint M. (29)
5	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
6	Stephens S. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
7	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	McNally C.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
9	Mboko V. (10)	Bye
10	Birrell K.	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 0
11	Sonmez Z.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (25)	Bye
14	Seidel E.	Zakharova A. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Galfi D. (LL)	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Anisimova A. (6)
17	Gauff C. (4)	Bye
18	Andreescu B. (WC)	Rakhimova K. (Q)	1 : 2
19	Yastremska D.	Zhang S.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Eala A. (31)
21	Shnaider D. (21)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Maria T.	2 : 1
23	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Noskova L. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Gibson T. (Q)	Li A.	2 : 0
27	Putintseva Y.	Badosa P.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
29	Wang Xin. (30)	Bye
30	Tomljanovic A.	Ruse G.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Stakusic M. (Q)	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
33	Pegula J. (5)	Bye
34	Vekic D. (WC)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
35	Volynets K. (WC)	Sramkova R. (RET.)	1 : 0
36	Bye	Ostapenko J. (26)
37	Mertens E. (22)	Bye
38	Bucsa C.	Vidmanova D. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Hunter S. (Q)	Frech M.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Keys M. (15)	Bye
42	Parry D. (Q)	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Tararudee L. (Q)	Kartal S.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Navarro E. (20)
45	Kostyuk M. (28)	Bye
46	Bouzkova M.	Townsend T. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Arango E.	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Rybakina E. (3)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Stearns P.	Sierra S.	0 : 2
51	Siniakova K.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Fernandez L. (27)
53	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
54	Linette M.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
55	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (9)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Jacquemot E.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
59	Ruzic A.	Brady J. (WC)	2 : 1
60	Bye	Zheng Q. (24)
61	Sakkari M. (32)	Bye
62	Gracheva V.	Tagger L. (WC)	0 : 2
63	Jones F.	Day K. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Sakatsume H.	2 : 0
2	Cristian J.	Joint M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Jovic I. (18)	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Jimenez Kasintseva V.	Osaka N. (16)	0 : 2
5	Mboko V. (10)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
6	Sonmez Z.	Kalinskaya A. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (25)	Zakharova A.	2 : 0
8	Blinkova A.	Anisimova A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (4)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
10	Yastremska D.	Eala A. (31)	1 : 2
11	Shnaider D. (21)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
12	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
14	Putintseva Y.	Tauson C. (17)	0 : 2
15	Wang Xin. (30)	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
17	Pegula J. (5)	Vekic D.	2 : 1
18	Volynets K.	Ostapenko J. (26)	0 : 2
19	Mertens E. (22)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
20	Hunter S.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Keys M. (15)	Parry D.	2 : 0
22	Kartal S.	Navarro E. (20)	2 : 1
23	Kostyuk M. (28)	Townsend T.	2 : 0
24	Baptiste H.	Rybakina E. (3)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Sierra S.	2 : 0
26	Siniakova K.	Fernandez L. (27)	2 : 1
27	Samsonova L. (19)	Krueger A.	1 : 2
28	Siegemund L.	Svitolina E. (9)	1 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
30	Ruzic A.	Zheng Q. (24)	2 : 0
31	Sakkari M. (32)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
32	Day K.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Osaka N. (16)	1 : 2
3	Mboko V. (10)	Kalinskaya A. (23)	2 : 0
4	Raducanu E. (25)	Anisimova A. (6)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (RET.) (4)	Eala A. (31)	0 : 1
6	Cirstea S.	Noskova L. (14)	1 : 2
7	Gibson T.	Tauson C. (17)	2 : 1
8	Tomljanovic A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Pegula J. (5)	Ostapenko J. (26)	2 : 1
10	Mertens E. (22)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Keys M. (15)	Kartal S.	1 : 2
12	Kostyuk M. (28)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Siniakova K.	1 : 2
14	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
16	Sakkari M. (32)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
2	Mboko V. (10)	Anisimova A. (6)	2 : 0
3	Eala A. (31)	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
4	Gibson T.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Pegula J. (5)	Bencic B. (12)	2 : 0
6	Kartal S. (RET.)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 1
7	Siniakova K. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 1
8	Muchova K. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mboko V. (10)	2 : 0
2	Noskova L. (14)	Gibson T.	2 : 1
3	Pegula J. (5)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
4	Svitolina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Noskova L. (14)	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Svitolina E. (9)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Rybakina E. (3)

2 : 1