Result
2:1
24/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 251 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Saporiti E. ⚽,
- 16', Carpani G. 🟨,
- 21', Piermarini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Marsura D. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 46', Piermarini M. ↓, Curado M. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Tremolada L. ⚽,
- 56', Varone I. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Gemignani A. ⚽,
- 60', Silipo A. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
- 61', Antoni E. 🟨,
- 67', Gagliolo R. ↓, Ciabuschi J. ↑,
- 74', Antoni E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
- 74', Magnaghi S. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
- 75', Carpani G. ↓, Gagliardi M. ↑,
- 80', Gagliardi M. 🟨,
- 87', Saporiti E. 🟨,
- 88', Saporiti E. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lucchese
29.2% | Draw
33.9% | Ascoli
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Lucchese - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.77) |
2.68 ↓
(3.03) |
2.46 ↑
(2.32) |
10.2%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lucchese - Ascoli?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 12).
- Lucchese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Ascoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ascoli will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against Ascoli?
Lucchese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Lucchese?
Ascoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Ascoli were as follows:
22.09.2024
Ascoli
-
Lucchese
1:2
Latest results of Lucchese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
