Ascoli vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Ascoli - Pontedera
Result
5:0
12/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport MIX

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
92
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
145
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Rizzo Pinna A. ,
  • 35', Ianesi S. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ,
  • 40', Vona E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ianesi S. , Andolfi T. ,
  • 53', 3 - 0, Milanese T. ,
  • 59', Scaccabarozzi J. , Nabian H. ,
  • 65', 4 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ,
  • 66', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
  • 67', Silipo A. , Palazzino F. ,
  • 68', D'Uffizi S. , Oviszach E. ,
  • 74', Vona E. , Paolieri L. ,
  • 74', Vitali P. , Tarantino J. ,
  • 74', Milanese T. , Corradini G. ,
  • 74', Rizzo Pinna A. , Ndoj E. ,
  • 77', Gori G. , Corazza S. ,
  • 81', Pretato M. 🟨,
  • 82', Manfredonia M. , Milazzo S. ,
  • 84', 5 - 0, Corazza S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ascoli
71.5%
Draw
19.9%
Pontedera
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 25.1% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 23.2% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ascoli - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.65)
    4.67
    (3.65)
    10.9
    (4.75)
    7.5%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ascoli - Pontedera?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ascoli will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 1.
    • Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Pontedera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ascoli is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Pontedera were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:1
    10.11.2024 Ascoli - Pontedera 1:1
    Latest results of Ascoli
    04.10.2025 Ascoli - Bra 4:1
    27.09.2025 Sassari Torres - Ascoli 0:1
    23.09.2025 Ascoli - Pineto 3:0
    20.09.2025 Livorno - Ascoli 0:3
    14.09.2025 Perugia - Ascoli 0:2
    Latest results of Pontedera
    05.10.2025 Gubbio - Pontedera 1:1
    27.09.2025 Pontedera - Forlì 2:1
    23.09.2025 Ternana - Pontedera 2:1
    19.09.2025 Pontedera - Campobasso 0:4
    13.09.2025 Pontedera - Rimini 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Guidonia115248:7117
    6Campobasso1144316:11516
    7Forli1051411:8316
    8Gubbio1144310:9116
    9Carpi1143413:15-215
    10Pineto1042415:12314
    11Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    12Juventus U231142516:18-214
    13Pianese1034310:10013
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini113267:13-6-1

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation