Result
1:3
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Nicoletti M. ⚽,
- 14', Leo D. 🟨,
- 24', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Faggi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Buffon L. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Damiani S. ⚽,
- 54', Nabian H. ↓, Kabashi E. ↑,
- 54', Emmanuello S. ↓, Caponi A. ↑,
- 54', Raychev A. ↓, Mbambi J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Yeboah P. ⚽,
- 69', Piana L. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 3, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 76', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 77', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 84', (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Galuppini F. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
- 85', Damiani S. ↓, Bando A. ↑,
- 90', Curado M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pontedera
16% | Draw
25.5% | Ascoli
58.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Pontedera - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.69 ↑
(5.21) |
3.58 ↑
(3.43) |
1.56 ↓
(1.64) |
9.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pontedera - Ascoli?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 0.
- Pontedera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ascoli is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ascoli is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Ascoli?
Pontedera has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Pontedera?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Ascoli were as follows:
12.10.2025
Ascoli
-
Pontedera
5:0
22.03.2025
Pontedera
-
Ascoli
1:1
10.11.2024
Ascoli
-
Pontedera
1:1
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
