Result
5:0
12/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport MIX |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
- 35', Ianesi S. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 40', Vona E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ianesi S. ↓, Andolfi T. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
- 59', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 66', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
- 67', Silipo A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
- 68', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 74', Vona E. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
- 74', Vitali P. ↓, Tarantino J. ↑,
- 74', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
- 74', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 77', Gori G. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
- 81', Pretato M. 🟨,
- 82', Manfredonia M. ↓, Milazzo S. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 0, Corazza S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
71.5% | Draw
19.9% | Pontedera
8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ascoli - Pontedera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.65) |
4.67 ↑
(3.65) |
10.9 ↑
(4.75) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Pontedera?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 1.
- Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pontedera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pontedera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ascoli is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Pontedera?
Ascoli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Ascoli?
Pontedera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Pontedera were as follows:
22.03.2025
Pontedera
-
Ascoli
1:1
10.11.2024
Ascoli
-
Pontedera
1:1
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Campobasso | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Forli | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Carpi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Pineto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 12 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
