Maria Sakkari vs Ashlyn Krueger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Osaka Maria Sakkari - Ashlyn Krueger
Result
1:2
13/10/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
910
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
60%62%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (44/64)67% (38/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (20/43)57% (20/35)
Break Points Saved
85% (11/13)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
33% (19/57)33% (21/64)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (15/35)53% (23/43)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)15% (2/13)
Service Points Won
60% (64/107)63% (58/92)
Return Points Won
37% (34/92)40% (43/107)
Total Points Won
49% (98/199)51% (101/199)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Maria Sakkari
46.7%
Ashlyn Krueger
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Sakkari's form might have worsened.
  • Ashlyn Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ashlyn Krueger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Sakkari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashlyn Krueger than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ashlyn Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maria Sakkari - Ashlyn Krueger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.69)

    1.87
    (2)
    2.5%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Sakkari - Ashlyn Krueger?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Krueger will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Krueger: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ashlyn Krueger will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakkari is ranked WTA: 56. Krueger is ranked WTA: 50.
    • Sakkari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Krueger is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sakkari may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakkari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Sakkari - Ashlyn Krueger were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Maria Sakkari 1:2
    Latest results of Maria Sakkari
    Latest results of Ashlyn Krueger
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Sonobe W. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lamens S.Arango E.2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Cocciaretto E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Volynets K. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (3)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    6Valentova T. (Q)Eala A.2 : 0
    7Sakkari M.Krueger A.1 : 2
    8Hibino N. (WC)Danilovic O. (6)1 : 2
    9Li A. (7)Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Garland J. (Q)Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Galfi D. (Q)Parks A.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bouzkova M. (5)Shibahara E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Golubic V.Andreescu B.2 : 1
    15Cirstea S.Uchijima M. (WC)2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Noskova L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Lamens S.2 : 1
    2Cristian J.Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)2 : 1
    3Mertens E. (3)Valentova T.0 : 2
    4Krueger A.Danilovic O. (6)0 : 2
    5Li A. (7)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    6Galfi D.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    7Bouzkova M. (5)Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Cirstea S.Boulter K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Cristian J. (WO.)
    2Valentova T.Danilovic O. (6)2 : 1
    3Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    4Golubic V.Cirstea S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cristian J.Valentova T.1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (4)Cirstea S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Valentova T.Fernandez L. (4)1 : 2