Aslan Karatsev vs Francesco Passaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cary Challenger Men Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro
Result
2:1
12/08/2024 at 11:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
08
1st Serve Percentage
67%49%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (32/41)68% (32/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
70% (14/20)41% (20/49)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
32% (15/47)22% (9/41)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (29/49)30% (6/20)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)67% (2/3)
Max Points In Row
98
Service Points Won
75% (44/59)55% (51/92)
Return Points Won
45% (41/92)25% (15/59)
Total Points Won
56% (85/151)44% (66/151)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
60% (15/25)40% (10/25)

Chances of winning


Aslan Karatsev
68.2%
Francesco Passaro
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aslan Karatsev's performance.
  • Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aslan Karatsev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.61)

    2.92
    (2.2)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Karatsev is ranked ATP: 100. Passaro is ranked ATP: 149.
    • Recent matches Karatsev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Passaro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Karatsev will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro were as follows:
    03.04.2023 Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro 1:2
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Latest results of Francesco Passaro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Rybakov A. (Q)Ilagan A. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Maloney P.Kirchheimer S. (Q)2 : 1
    4Sakamoto R.Mejia N. (7)2 : 1
    5Galarneau A. (4)Roh H. (JR)2 : 0
    6Dostanic S. (WC)Martin A. (Alt)1 : 2
    7Nakagawa N.Sell K.0 : 2
    8Imamura M. (Alt)Kypson P. (8)0 : 2
    9Tomic B. (9)Bigun K. (JR)0 : 2
    10Wu Y.Mayew I. (WC)2 : 0
    11Manning W. (WC)Glinka D. (Q)1 : 2
    12Zheng M. (Q)Jasika O. (3)2 : 0
    13Noguchi R. (6)Moriya H. (Q)1 : 2
    14Andrade A.Mayo A.0 : 2
    15Sheehy J. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    16Sekulic P. (PR)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    2Maloney P.Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Martin A.2 : 1
    4Sell K.Kypson P. (8)0 : 2
    5Bigun K.Wu Y.0 : 2
    6Glinka D.Zheng M.0 : 2
    7Moriya H.Mayo A.0 : 2
    8Sheehy J.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Sakamoto R.0 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Kypson P. (8)1 : 2
    3Wu Y.Zheng M.2 : 0
    4Mayo A.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sakamoto R.Kypson P. (8)2 : 0
    2Wu Y.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sakamoto R.Draxl L. (2)2 : 0