Mattia Bellucci vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/10/2024 at 04:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats


Aces
11	1
Double Faults
2	1
1st Serve Percentage
65%	68%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (32/40)	55% (27/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (13/22)	61% (14/23)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)	73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
45% (22/49)	20% (8/40)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (9/23)	41% (9/22)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)	50% (1/2)
Winners
22	10
Unforced Errors
35	40
Net Points Won
50% (3/6)	64% (7/11)
Max Points In Row
6	5
Service Points Won
73% (45/62)	57% (41/72)
Return Points Won
43% (31/72)	27% (17/62)
Total Points Won
57% (76/134)	43% (58/134)
Max Games In Row
5	3
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)	67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)	10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)	37% (7/19)

Chances of winning

Mattia Bellucci
69.1%

Aslan Karatsev
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aslan Karatsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Mattia Bellucci - Aslan Karatsev Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)		3.04 ↑ (2.58)	6.7% (6.8%)

Preview Facts

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 103. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 139.
Both players are now playing unstable.
Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Bellucci will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Bellucci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

How many head-to-head matches has Mattia Bellucci won against Aslan Karatsev?

Mattia Bellucci has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aslan Karatsev won against Mattia Bellucci?

Aslan Karatsev has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mattia Bellucci - Aslan Karatsev were as follows:

19.09.2024 Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci 0:2

Latest results of Mattia Bellucci

30.09.2024 Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu 2:0 ✺

25.09.2024 Jack Draper - Mattia Bellucci 2:0 ✺

24.09.2024 Mattia Bellucci - Rinky Hijikata 2:0 ✺

22.09.2024 Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci 1:2 ✺

21.09.2024 Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Aslan Karatsev

30.09.2024 Aziz Dougaz - Aslan Karatsev 1:2 ✺

25.09.2024 James McCabe - Aslan Karatsev 2:0 ✺

24.09.2024 Illya Marchenko - Aslan Karatsev 0:2 ✺

19.09.2024 Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci 0:2 ✺

22.08.2024 Aslan Karatsev - Bu Yunchaokete 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2