Aslan Karatsev vs Ryan Peniston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hersonissos Challenger Men Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston
Result
0:2
07/03/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos (Greece), hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
57%62%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (21/34)68% (23/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
27% (7/26)57% (12/21)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
32% (11/34)38% (13/34)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (9/21)73% (19/26)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
47% (28/60)64% (35/55)
Return Points Won
36% (20/55)53% (32/60)
Total Points Won
42% (48/115)58% (67/115)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Aslan Karatsev
60.4%
Ryan Peniston
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.54)

    2.35
    (2.33)
    7%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Peniston will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karatsev is ranked ATP: 207. Peniston is ranked ATP: 406.
    • Recent matches Karatsev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Peniston is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Karatsev will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Latest results of Ryan Peniston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Skatov T. (1)Vesely J.2 : 0
    2Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)Novak D.0 : 2
    3Sakellaridis S. (WC)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    4Sels J. (RET.)Piros Z. (7)0 : 1
    5Butvilas E. (4)Smith K. (Q)2 : 0
    6Dellavedova M.Negritu Ch.0 : 2
    7Karol M. (Q)Searle H.0 : 2
    8Klizan M.Barranco Cosano J. (5)0 : 2
    9Rodesch C. (6)Kirkin E.2 : 0
    10Parker S. (Q)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    11Gea A.Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    12Berankis R.Wu Tung-Lin (3)2 : 0
    13Giustino L. (8)Binda A. (LL)2 : 0
    14Prizmic D.Karatsev A. (Q)0 : 2
    15Peniston R. (Q)Soriano Barrera A.2 : 0
    16Serafini M. (Q)Sultanov K. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Skatov T. (1)Novak D.1 : 2
    2Sakellaridis S.Piros Z. (7)0 : 2
    3Butvilas E. (4)Negritu Ch.2 : 1
    4Searle H.Barranco Cosano J. (5)2 : 0
    5Rodesch C. (6)Parker S.0 : 2
    6Kuzmanov D.Berankis R.2 : 0
    7Giustino L. (8)Karatsev A.1 : 2
    8Peniston R.Sultanov K. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Novak D.Piros Z. (7)0 : 2
    2Butvilas E. (4)Searle H.2 : 1
    3Parker S.Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    4Karatsev A.Peniston R.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Piros Z. (7)Butvilas E. (4)1 : 2
    2Parker S.Peniston R.2 : 0

    Final
    1Butvilas E. (4)Parker S.2 : 0