Result
2:4
28/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 2.49 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (2/40) | 16.67% (4/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 38 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (20/24) | 95% (38/40) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.11 | 48.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 3)
- 03:23, 0 - 1, Tammela J. (G), Noiva N. (A), Juhola P. (A2)
- 10:15, 0 - 2, Juhola P. (G), Tammela J. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
- 15:22, 0 - 3, Fabre D. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Lipiainen V. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:15, Junttila J. (Penalty Shot),
- 15:00, 1 - 3, Nutivaara M. (G), Juusola V. (A), Virta P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:47, Noiva N. (2 min),
- 04:47, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
- 08:37, 2 - 3, Erholtz E. (G), Virta P. (A), Bjork M. (A2)
- 09:46, Junttila J. (2 min),
- 16:34, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 17:17, 2 - 4, Nurmi P. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
- 19:11, (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
37.4% | Draw
24% | Ässät
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.33) |
3.9 ↑
(3.84) |
2.46 ↓
(2.71) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kärpät - Ässät?
Users Predictions:
Ässät will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ässät will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.
- Recent form of Kärpät has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ässät is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Ässät will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 58:40. (average 2.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 2.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ässät?
Kärpät has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Kärpät?
Ässät has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Ässät were as follows:
20.09.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
5:2
01.03.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
3:1
15.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
5:2
30.11.2024
Kärpät
-
Ässät
1:4
20.09.2024
Ässät
-
Kärpät
4:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 74:50 | 48 |
| 2 | JYP | 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 86:59 | 46 |
| 3 | Tappara | 24 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 82:55 | 45 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 86:67 | 43 |
| 5 | Lukko | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 68:64 | 38 |
| 6 | Jukurit | 25 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 61:67 | 37 |
| 7 | TPS Turku | 25 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 58:61 | 36 |
| 8 | SaiPa | 24 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 72:69 | 35 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 24 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 67:70 | 35 |
| 10 | KalPa | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 68:66 | 34 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 62:63 | 34 |
| 12 | Karpat | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 81:84 | 30 |
| 13 | Ilves | 23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 66:77 | 30 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 22 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 40:58 | 26 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 22 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 53:70 | 24 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 42:86 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
