Result
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Chances of winning
Kärpät
51.1% | Draw
22.5% | Ässät
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.19) |
4.07 ↓
(4.13) |
3.55 ↑
(2.69) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kärpät might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:41. (average 2.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 2.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ässät?
Kärpät has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Kärpät?
Ässät has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Ässät were as follows:
07.01.2026
Ässät
-
Kärpät
4:3
28.10.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
2:4
20.09.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
5:2
01.03.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
3:1
15.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
5:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 44 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 164:104 | 90 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 45 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 151:128 | 80 |
| 3 | JYP | 42 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 147:121 | 79 |
| 4 | Lukko | 44 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 138:118 | 76 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 42 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 150:108 | 75 |
| 6 | Ilves | 44 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 139:116 | 75 |
| 7 | KalPa | 43 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 129:128 | 74 |
| 8 | Assat | 44 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 124:117 | 72 |
| 9 | IFK Helsinki | 44 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 102:143 | 58 |
| 10 | Kiekko-Espoo | 45 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 112:133 | 58 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 45 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 107:123 | 58 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 86:107 | 56 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 42 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 100:114 | 54 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 44 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 104:124 | 53 |
| 15 | Karpat | 44 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 133:147 | 51 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 93:148 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
