Result
3:1
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 2.09 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 33 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.54% (3/26) | 3.03% (1/33) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.97% (32/33) | 88.46% (23/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 33.96 | 66.04 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 05:56, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 12:30, Kivisto T. (2 min),
- 16:10, Karjalainen M. (5 min),
- 17:47, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 17:47, Virta P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 00:32, 1 - 0, Fabre D. (G), Vanhatalo L. (A), Kucerik R. (A2)
- 00:40, 2 - 0, Jarvinen J. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Puutio K. (A2)
- 06:13, Tardif B. (2 min),
- 11:01, Masin D. (2 min),
- 15:17, 3 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G), Anttalainen A. (A),
- 19:43, 3 - 1, Pokka V. (G), Nikupeteri O. (A),
Chances of winning
Ässät
48.3% | Draw
23% | Kärpät
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+1%)
Ässät - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2) |
4.07 ↓
(4.2) |
3.31 ↑
(3.05) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ässät won 1.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Kärpät could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ässät will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ässät won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 35:59 (average 1.8:3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ässät won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:30 (average 2:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Kärpät?
Ässät has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ässät?
Kärpät has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Kärpät were as follows:
15.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
5:2
30.11.2024
Kärpät
-
Ässät
1:4
20.09.2024
Ässät
-
Kärpät
4:5
07.02.2024
Kärpät
-
Ässät
2:1
05.01.2024
Ässät
-
Kärpät
1:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
