Result
5:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 2.19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 21.74% (5/23) | 7.69% (2/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92.31% (24/26) | 81.82% (18/22) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.85 | 48.15 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 03:24, Rubin N. ↓, Vedenpaa V. ↑,
- 05:14, 0 - 1, Pietila B. (G), Alasiurua A. (A),
- 07:01, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 12:43, 1 - 1, Juhola P. (G), Viljanen V. (A),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 02:27, 1 - 2, Hirvonen R. (G), Raty Aku (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 07:35, Virta P. (2 min),
- 09:53, 2 - 2, Juhola P. (G), Boelius L. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
- 17:59, 3 - 2, Knihti F. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Juhola P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:56, 4 - 2, Martel D. (G),
- 04:19, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
- 16:13, 5 - 2, Fabre D. (G), Anttalainen A. (A),
Chances of winning
Ässät
37.2% | Draw
23.8% | Kärpät
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Ässät - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.54) |
3.95 ↓
(4.05) |
2.4 ↑
(2.35) |
6.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ässät - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- Ässät is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kärpät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 38:60. (average 1.9:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Kärpät?
Ässät has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ässät?
Kärpät has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Kärpät were as follows:
01.03.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
3:1
15.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
5:2
30.11.2024
Kärpät
-
Ässät
1:4
20.09.2024
Ässät
-
Kärpät
4:5
07.02.2024
Kärpät
-
Ässät
2:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
