Result
0:4
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.65 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/21) | 26.67% (4/15) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 78.57% (11/14) | 100% (21/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.83 | 47.17 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 16:49, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 18:37, 0 - 1, Tiivola P. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Alasiurua A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:52, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
- 05:07, 0 - 2, Juhola P. (G), Viljanen V. (A), Anttalainen A. (A2)
- 11:59, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 11:59, Juhola P. (2 min),
- 13:23, Maatta R. (2 min),
- 15:11, (2 min),
- 17:58, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 15:35, 0 - 3, Fabre D. (G),
- 16:32, 0 - 4, Fabre D. (G),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
51.8% | Draw
22.3% | Ässät
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kärpät's performance.Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ässät might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kärpät that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ässät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kärpät - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.19) |
4.13
(4.13) |
3.63 ↑
(2.69) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kärpät might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:41. (average 2.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 2.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against Ässät?
Kärpät has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Kärpät?
Ässät has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - Ässät were as follows:
07.01.2026
Ässät
-
Kärpät
4:3
28.10.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
2:4
20.09.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
5:2
01.03.2025
Ässät
-
Kärpät
3:1
15.01.2025
Kärpät
-
Ässät
5:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
