Result
5:2
26/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.97 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 31.25% (5/16) | 8% (2/25) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92% (23/25) | 73.33% (11/15) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.17 | 52.83 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 02:19, 1 - 0, Talaja R. (G), Piipponen S. (A), Tiivola P. (A2)
- 03:49, 2 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Tammela J. (A), Juhola P. (A2)
- 07:09, 3 - 0, Juhola P. (G), Noiva N. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 11:17, 4 - 0, Kostilainen S. (G), Noiva N. (A),
- 11:37, 4 - 1, Komarov L. (G),
- 14:53, Sebok B. (2 min),
- 14:53, Aronsson A. (2 min),
- 15:25, 4 - 2, Nakyva K. (G), Hillis C. (A), Kangasniemi I. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:22, Svejkovsky L. (2 min),
- 19:37, 5 - 2, Knihti F. (G),
Chances of winning
Ässät
33.9% | Draw
25.4% | Kiekko-Espoo
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-5%)
Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.58) |
3.69 ↓
(3.78) |
2.31 ↓
(2.48) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
What is the prediction for Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:40. (average 2.1:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 2.8:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Ässät has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Ässät?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
24.03.2026
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Ässät
4:1
23.03.2026
Ässät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:5
21.03.2026
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Ässät
1:2
20.03.2026
Ässät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
4:3
10.03.2026
Ässät
-
Kiekko-Espoo
0:4
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
