Result
0:3
04/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (168/256) | 80% (339/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 3.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (168/256) | 80% (339/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 69% (111/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.02 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
- 19', Onyemaechi B. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 2, Taremi M. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Castano P. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 3, Martins G. ⚽,
- 61', Mitrovic S. ↓, Ketu K. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez E. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
- 61', Mendieta J. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
- 64', Martins G. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 64', Taremi M. ↓, Clayton ↑,
- 64', Hezze S. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
- 70', Gioacchini N. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
- 75', Andre Luiz 🟨,
- 75', Podence D. ↓, Yazici Y. ↑,
- 76', Retsos P. ↓, Kalogeropoulos A. ↑,
- 78', Alagbe O. ↓, Yablonskiy E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Asteras Tripolis
7.3% | Draw
17.3% | Olympiacos Piraeus
75.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
13.26 ↑
(8.9) |
5.42 ↑
(4.14) |
1.24 ↓
(1.38) |
6.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 84.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Asteras Tripolis (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Asteras Tripolis (3.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Asteras Tripolis (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Asteras Tripolis (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Olympiacos (votes: 8 - 72.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 1.
- Asteras Tripolis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Olympiacos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Olympiacos has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Olympiacos is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asteras Tripolis won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 8:42. (average 0.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asteras Tripolis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Olympiacos Piraeus?
Asteras Tripolis has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against Asteras Tripolis?
Olympiacos Piraeus has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
24.09.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
1:2
23.08.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
09.02.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:1
27.10.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
1:0
25.02.2024
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:1
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
