Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/452) | 85% (359/422) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (384/452) | 85% (359/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (76/116) | 71% (63/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Matan A. ⚽, Lenny Lobato (A),
- 40', Kucherenko Y. 🟨,
- 40', Castano P. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Bartolo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Mitrovic S. 🟨,
- 58', Satsias G. ↓, Mladen S. ↑,
- 62', Mitrovic S. ↓, Kaltsas N. ↑,
- 62', Gioacchini N. ↓, Macheda F. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Badji Y. ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),
- 70', Lenny Lobato ↓, Aleksic K. ↑,
- 71', Farley Rosa ↓, Smyrlis L. ↑,
- 71', Deligiannidis P. ↓, Alho N. ↑,
- 71', Chicco J. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Aleksic K. ⚽,
- 82', Bartolo J. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
- 85', Manrique C. ↓, Apostolopoulos A. ↑,
- 86', Badji Y. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 90+2', Bouchalakis A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panetolikos
33.2% | Draw
31.3% | Asteras Tripolis
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panetolikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asteras Tripolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.72) |
2.99 ↑
(2.95) |
2.66 ↓
(2.73) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Panetolikos will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Asteras Tripolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Asteras Tripolis could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Sipcic N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Panetolikos: Aguirre J.
(Ankle Injury)
Chura J.
(Inactive)
Mavrias Ch.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Charalampoglou G.
(Inactive)
Macheda F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panetolikos won 1 match, drew 10 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panetolikos won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Panetolikos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Panetolikos has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Panetolikos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
22.11.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
1:1
13.01.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
2:0
21.09.2024
Panetolikos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:1
27.07.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
3:1
20.04.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Panetolikos
0:2
Latest results of Panetolikos
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
