Result
3:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 1 - 0, Rosa A. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Chillemi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ligorna 69.7% | Draw 19.9% | Asti 10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ligorna's performance.Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ligorna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ligorna - Asti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.86) |
4.56 ↑ (3.59) |
8.77 ↑ (3.62) |
10% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1.
- Ligorna has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Asti is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Ligorna is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Ligorna will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ligorna won against Asti?
Ligorna has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asti won against Ligorna?
Asti has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ligorna - Asti were as follows:
02.02.2025
Asti
-
Ligorna
0:1
06.10.2024
Ligorna
-
Asti
2:2
04.02.2024
Ligorna
-
Asti
2:3
08.10.2023
Asti
-
Ligorna
2:1
15.01.2023
Ligorna
-
Asti
0:0
Latest results of Ligorna
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 50:21 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Vado | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 58 |
| 3 | Sestri Levante | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 45:22 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Chisola | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 32:22 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Imperia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:33 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Cairese | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Asti | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 25 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Lavagnese | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Club Milano | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23:42 | -19 | 23 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19:46 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation