Result
3:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 1 - 0, Rosa A. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Chillemi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ligorna 69.7% | Draw 19.9% | Asti 10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ligorna's performance.Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ligorna that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ligorna - Asti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.86) |
4.56 ↑ (3.59) |
8.77 ↑ (3.62) |
10% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1.
- Ligorna has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Asti is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Ligorna is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Ligorna will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ligorna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ligorna won against Asti?
Ligorna has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asti won against Ligorna?
Asti has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ligorna - Asti were as follows:
02.02.2025
Asti
-
Ligorna
0:1
06.10.2024
Ligorna
-
Asti
2:2
04.02.2024
Ligorna
-
Asti
2:3
08.10.2023
Asti
-
Ligorna
2:1
15.01.2023
Ligorna
-
Asti
0:0
Latest results of Ligorna
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ligorna | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Vado | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 22 | 48 |
| 5 | Chisola | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Sanremese | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Imperia | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Valenzana | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 25:39 | -14 | 35 |
| 11 | Cairese | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Derthona FbC | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 30:40 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | Gozzano | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 29 |
| 15 | Celle Varazze | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Asti | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23:32 | -9 | 26 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 21:52 | -31 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation