Aston Villa vs Birmingham City LFC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Women's League Cup - Round 3

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Sarri V. , Crosthwaite L. (A),
  • 36', Taylor M. 🟨,
  • 39', Herron N. 🟨,
  • 45', Hurtre O. 🟨,
  • 45', Wilms L. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Hurtre O. , Louis B. ,
  • 46', Taylor M. , Grant C. ,
  • 58', 0 - 2, Sarri V. , McKenna R. (A),
  • 59', Cornet C. , Quinn Lu. ,
  • 59', Crosthwaite L. , Harrison-Murray C. ,
  • 60', Daly R. , Mullet G. ,
  • 60', Salmon E. , Hanson K. ,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Patten A. , Kearns M. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 2, Kendall L. ,
  • 77', Maritz N. , Maltby R. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Maltby R. , Grant C. (A),
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Louis B. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Harrison-Murray C. (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, Sarri V. (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
58.4%
Draw
21.5%
Birmingham City LFC
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 22.5% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 21.7% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.61)
    4.26
    (4)
    4.57
    (4.2)
    8.9%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Birmingham City LFC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1West Ham WManchester City W1 : 5
    2Liverpool WChelsea W1 : 9
    3Crystal Palace WArsenal W0 : 2
    4Manchester Utd WTottenham W2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Manchester City WChelsea W0 : 1
    2Arsenal WManchester Utd W0 : 1

    Final
    1Chelsea WManchester Utd W