Result
1:3
09/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4 |
 Azerbaijan | Ictimai TV |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTBF Tipik |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | Wowow Live |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2, TVM Sport+ |
 Mauritius | MBC 11 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4, Tubi TV |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 4 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab |
 World | Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (438/489) | 79% (284/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (438/489) | 79% (284/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 26% (12/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (90/112) | 59% (42/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 80% (4/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Konsa E. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 2, Watkins O. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
- 65', Pobega T. 🟨,
- 67', Ferguson L. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
- 67', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
- 80', Onana A. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
- 82', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 85', Rogers M. 🟨,
- 88', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
- 88', Buendia E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 90', Freuler R. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Watkins O. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Bologna
23.7% | Draw
28.4% | Aston Villa
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bologna - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(3.18) |
3.38 ↑
(3.35) |
2 ↓
(2.28) |
4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bologna - Aston Villa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Aston Villa will win
(58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Bologna is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Dallinga T.
(Injury)
De Silvestri L.
(Inactive)
Dominguez B.
(Hip Injury)
Fauske Helland E.
(Inactive)
Lykogiannis C.
(Thigh Injury)
Skorupski L.
(Muscle Injury)
Vitik M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson
(Inactive)
Kamara B.
(Knee Injury)
Madjo B.
(Inactive)
Sancho J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Aston Villa?
Bologna has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Bologna?
Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Aston Villa were as follows:
25.09.2025
Aston Villa
-
Bologna
1:0
22.10.2024
Aston Villa
-
Bologna
2:0
Latest results of Bologna
Latest results of Aston Villa
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finalsFinal
