Brentford vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup
Result
2:1 penalties
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.71
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
84% (353/420)89% (435/491)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.551.33
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
80
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
84% (353/420)89% (435/491)
Long passes
48% (21/44)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
60% (40/67)85% (125/147)
Crosses
29% (4/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.64
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
1210
Tackles
37% (7/19)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4531
Clearances
2622
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.331.55
Goals prevented
0.330.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Guessand E. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Elliott H. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
  • 52', Ajer K. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Hickey A. ⚽,
  • 67', Elliott H. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 67', Malen D. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
  • 68', Milambo A. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
  • 68', Bogarde L. 🟨,
  • 74', Sancho J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
  • 74', Bogarde L. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
  • 78', Ouattara Da. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
  • 78', Hickey A. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
  • 80', Guessand E. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, McGinn J. (Pen),
  • 1, Carvalho F. (Pen),
  • 2, Watkins O. (Pen),
  • 2, Nelson R. (Pen),
  • 3, Buendia E. (Pen),
  • 3, Yarmolyuk Y. (Pen),
  • 4, Cash M. (Pen),
  • 4, Damsgaard M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Brentford
22.9%		Draw
26.2%		Aston Villa
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.3% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 27.1% 41.5%

Brentford - Aston Villa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.66 ↑
(2.83)		 3.9 ↑
(3.58)		 2.02 ↓
(2.34)		 -3.5%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brentford - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: Brentford will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brentford will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury) Maghoma P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Garcia A. (Knock) Kamara B. (Hamstring Injury) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Aston Villa were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1
    04.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:1
    06.04.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:3
    17.12.2023 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:2
    Latest results of Brentford
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Sunderland - Brentford 2:1 ✺
    26.08.2025 Bournemouth - Brentford 0:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Nottingham Forest - Brentford 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    13.09.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    10.08.2025 Villarreal - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2WrexhamHull4 : 3
    3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    5BurnleyBye
    6West BromDerby1 : 2
    7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    9WolvesBye
    10ByeWest Ham
    11EvertonBye
    12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    13TranmereBurton1 : 2
    14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    16ByeChelsea
    17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    20ByeArsenal
    21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    24ByeBrighton
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29Crystal PalaceBye
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CoventryLuton1 : 0
    33NewcastleBye
    35StokeWalsall1 : 0
    36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    37TottenhamBye
    39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    45FulhamBye
    46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    52ByeNottingham
    53SunderlandBye
    54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    56ByeManchester City
    57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    58ByeLeeds
    59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    60ByeManchester Utd
    61BournemouthBye
    62ByeBrentford
    64ByeAston Villa

    1/32-finals
    1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8ByeChelsea
    9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    10ByeArsenal
    11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15Crystal PalaceBye
    16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    17NewcastleBye
    18StokeBradford City0 : 3
    19TottenhamBye
    20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    21WiganStockport County1 : 0
    22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
    25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    26ByeNottingham
    27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    28ByeManchester City
    29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    32ByeAston Villa

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamReading2 : 0
    2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    3WolvesEverton2 : 0
    4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    11WiganWycombe0 : 2
    12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
    13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    6WycombeFulham1 : 2
    7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
    2ArsenalCrystal Palace
    3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
    4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaTBD #2
    2NewcastleManchester City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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