Aston Villa vs Brentford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 24
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2, Sport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 7
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Premier League
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, USA Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.980.54
Ball possession
72%28%
Total shots
277
Shots on target
52
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
121
Passes
88% (560/635)73% (186/255)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.980.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.070.70
Total shots
277
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
114
Blocked shots
111
Shots inside the box
175
Shots outside the box
101
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
7612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
16
Free kicks
88
Passes
88% (560/635)73% (186/255)
Long passes
56% (15/27)40% (29/73)
Passes in final third
88% (259/296)49% (31/63)
Crosses
31% (8/26)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.850.11
Throw ins
1618
Fouls
88
Tackles
53% (9/17)57% (4/7)
Duels won
4232
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
314
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.701.07
Goals prevented
-0.300.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', Ajer K. 🟨,
  • 42', Schade K. 🟥,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Ouattara Da. ⚽,
  • 45+5', Kayode M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bogarde L. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
  • 59', Henderson J. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
  • 60', Ouattara Da. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
  • 76', Jensen M. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,
  • 77', Sancho J. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
  • 84', Henry R. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Collins N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Janelt V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
41.3%		Draw
28.8%		Brentford
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.1% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 25.7% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.
  • Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Brentford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↑
    (2.04)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.67)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.58)    		 4%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Brentford?
  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 82 - 78.1%). Brentford will win (votes: 10 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 12.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 70.2% – 86%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Aston Villa (1.36) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Aston Villa (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Aston Villa (3.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 55.6%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Aston Villa (2.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (40 of 50 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 62 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 52 - 83.9%). Brentford (votes: 6 - 9.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
    • Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Brentford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Brentford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Aston Villa could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Watkins O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brentford: Ajer K. (Injury) Damsgaard M. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Brentford were as follows:
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1
    04.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:1
    06.04.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    29.01.2026 Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg 3:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    22.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Aston Villa - Everton 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Brentford
    25.01.2026 Brentford - Nottingham Forest 0:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Chelsea - Brentford 2:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Brentford 0:2 ✺
    07.01.2026 Brentford - Sunderland 3:0 ✺
    04.01.2026 Everton - Brentford 2:4 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal28187356:213561
    2Manchester City27175556:253156
    3Aston Villa27156638:281051
    4Manchester Utd27139548:371148
    5Chelsea27129648:311745
    6Liverpool27136842:35745
    7Brentford271241140:37340
    8Bournemouth27911743:45-238
    9Everton271071029:31-237
    10Fulham271141238:41-337
    11Newcastle271061138:39-136
    12Sunderland2799928:33-536
    13Crystal Palace27981029:32-335
    14Brighton27810936:34234
    15Leeds277101037:46-931
    16Tottenham27781237:41-429
    17Nottingham27761425:39-1427
    18West Ham27671432:49-1725
    19Burnley27471629:52-2319
    20Wolves28172018:51-3310

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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