Result
2:1 penalties
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Variety 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 89% (435/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 89% (435/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (40/67) | 85% (125/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Guessand E. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Elliott H. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
- 52', Ajer K. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Hickey A. ⚽,
- 67', Elliott H. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
- 67', Malen D. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
- 68', Milambo A. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
- 68', Bogarde L. 🟨,
- 74', Sancho J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 74', Bogarde L. ↓, Kamara B. ↑,
- 78', Ouattara Da. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
- 78', Hickey A. ↓, Kayode M. ↑,
- 80', Guessand E. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, McGinn J. (Pen),
- 1, Carvalho F. (Pen),
- 2, Watkins O. (Pen),
- 2, Nelson R. (Pen),
- 3, Buendia E. (Pen),
- 3, Yarmolyuk Y. (Pen),
- 4, Cash M. (Pen),
- 4, Damsgaard M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Brentford
22.9% | Draw
26.2% | Aston Villa
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brentford's form might have worsened.Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brentford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brentford - Aston Villa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↑
(2.83) |
3.9 ↑
(3.58) |
2.02 ↓
(2.34) |
-3.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brentford - Aston Villa?
Users Predictions:
Brentford will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brentford will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes
(Hamstring Injury)
Maghoma P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Garcia A.
(Knock)
Kamara B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Onana A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Aston Villa?
Brentford has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Brentford?
Aston Villa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Aston Villa were as follows:
23.08.2025
Brentford
-
Aston Villa
1:0
08.03.2025
Brentford
-
Aston Villa
0:1
04.12.2024
Aston Villa
-
Brentford
3:1
06.04.2024
Aston Villa
-
Brentford
3:3
17.12.2023
Brentford
-
Aston Villa
1:2
Latest results of Brentford
Latest results of Aston Villa
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
