Result
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Aston Villa
35.5% | Draw
26.5% | Chelsea
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Chelsea aligns with the current prediction.
Aston Villa - Chelsea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.67) |
3.64 ↓
(3.79) |
2.51 ↑
(2.48) |
4.4%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Chelsea?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Chelsea will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Chelsea?
Aston Villa has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Aston Villa?
Chelsea has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Chelsea were as follows:
27.12.2025
Chelsea
-
Aston Villa
1:2
22.02.2025
Aston Villa
-
Chelsea
2:1
01.12.2024
Chelsea
-
Aston Villa
3:0
27.04.2024
Aston Villa
-
Chelsea
2:2
07.02.2024
Aston Villa
-
Chelsea
1:3
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Chelsea
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | Everton | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 44:46 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32:56 | -24 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolves | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20:51 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
