Aston Villa vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

Premier League - Round 29
Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 5, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	SÝN Sport 4
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	SuperSport 4
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Myanmar	Canal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Pershiy
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.88	3.93
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
4	8
Big chances
3	5
Corner kicks
3	8
Passes
86% (361/419)	91% (508/557)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.88	3.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	4.43
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
4	8
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
1	4
Shots inside the box
6	14
Shots outside the box
3	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
3	5
Corner kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
17	35
Accurate through passes
1	3
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
9	10
Passes
86% (361/419)	91% (508/557)
Long passes
59% (20/34)	50% (14/28)
Passes in final third
80% (82/103)	81% (74/91)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	2.40
Throw ins
16	20
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
73% (8/11)	40% (6/15)
Duels won
27	36
Clearances
14	15
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
4.43	0.54
Goals prevented
0.43	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Douglas Luiz ⚽, Bailey L. (A),
32', Cash M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽, Gusto M. (A),
45+6', 1 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cash M. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
54', Joao Pedro 🟨,
55', 1 - 3, Palmer C. ⚽, Joao Pedro (A),
58', Rogers M. 🟨,
58', Fernandez E. 🟨,
63', Buendia E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
63', Douglas Luiz ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
63', Bailey L. ↓, Alysson ↑,
64', 1 - 4, Joao Pedro ⚽, Garnacho A. (A),
68', Watkins O. 🟨,
72', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
75', Gusto M. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
79', Fofana W. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
79', Fernandez E. ↓, Cucurella M. ↑,
85', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
85', Palmer C. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
35.6%

Draw
27.4%

Chelsea
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.8%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1%)

Aston Villa - Chelsea Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.67)	3.5 ↓ (3.79)	2.58 ↑ (2.48)	4.6% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Chelsea?

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 20%). Chelsea will win (votes: 18 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 52.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.2% – 64.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Chelsea (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Chelsea (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Chelsea (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 13%). Chelsea (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Chelsea?

Aston Villa has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Aston Villa?

Chelsea has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Chelsea were as follows:

27.12.2025 Chelsea - Aston Villa 1:2

22.02.2025 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:1

01.12.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 3:0

27.04.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:2

07.02.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:3

Latest results of Aston Villa

27.02.2026 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Aston Villa - Leeds United 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺

11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Chelsea

01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Hull City - Chelsea 0:4 ✺

10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea 1:3 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	32	21	7	4	62:24	38	70
2	Manchester City	31	19	7	5	63:28	35	64
3	Manchester Utd	31	15	10	6	56:43	13	55
4	Aston Villa	32	16	7	9	43:38	5	55
5	Liverpool	32	15	7	10	52:42	10	52
6	Chelsea	32	13	9	10	53:41	12	48
7	Brentford	32	13	8	11	48:44	4	47
8	Everton	32	13	8	11	39:37	2	47
9	Brighton	32	12	10	10	43:37	6	46
10	Sunderland	32	12	10	10	33:36	-3	46
11	Bournemouth	32	10	15	7	48:49	-1	45
12	Fulham	32	13	5	14	43:46	-3	44
13	Crystal Palace	31	11	9	11	35:36	-1	42
14	Newcastle	32	12	6	14	45:47	-2	42
15	Leeds	31	7	12	12	37:48	-11	33
16	Nottingham	32	8	9	15	32:44	-12	33
17	West Ham	32	8	8	16	40:57	-17	32
18	Tottenham	32	7	9	16	40:51	-11	30
19	Burnley	32	4	8	20	33:63	-30	20
20	Wolves	32	3	8	21	24:58	-34	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship