Aston Villa vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshToffee Live
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN 5, ESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 6 DRM, FuboTV
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2, ESPN 5
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanU-NEXT
kosovoKosovoSuperSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
myanmarMyanmarCanal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 3, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkrainePershiy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.883.93
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
48
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
38
Passes
86% (361/419)91% (508/557)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
0.883.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.544.43
Total shots
915
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
31
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
22
Free kicks
910
Passes
86% (361/419)91% (508/557)
Long passes
59% (20/34)50% (14/28)
Passes in final third
80% (82/103)81% (74/91)
Crosses
9% (1/11)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.032.40
Throw ins
1620
Fouls
109
Tackles
73% (8/11)40% (6/15)
Duels won
2736
Clearances
1415
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
4.430.54
Goals prevented
0.43-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Douglas Luiz , Bailey L. (A),
  • 32', Cash M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Joao Pedro , Gusto M. (A),
  • 45+6', 1 - 2, Joao Pedro , Fernandez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Cash M. , Bogarde L. ,
  • 54', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 3, Palmer C. , Joao Pedro (A),
  • 58', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 58', Fernandez E. 🟨,
  • 63', Buendia E. , Sancho J. ,
  • 63', Douglas Luiz , Barkley R. ,
  • 63', Bailey L. , Alysson ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Joao Pedro , Garnacho A. (A),
  • 68', Watkins O. 🟨,
  • 72', Watkins O. , Abraham T. ,
  • 75', Gusto M. , Lavia R. ,
  • 79', Fofana W. , Adarabioyo T. ,
  • 79', Fernandez E. , Cucurella M. ,
  • 85', Joao Pedro , Delap L. ,
  • 85', Palmer C. , Andrey Santos ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
35.6%
Draw
27.4%
Chelsea
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 25.3% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 25.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Aston Villa - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.67)
    3.5
    (3.79)
    2.58
    (2.48)
    4.6%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 20%). Chelsea will win (votes: 18 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 34 - 52.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.2%64.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Chelsea (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Chelsea (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Chelsea (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Chelsea (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Chelsea (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 13%). Chelsea (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Chelsea were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Chelsea - Aston Villa 1:2
    22.02.2025 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:1
    01.12.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 3:0
    27.04.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:2
    07.02.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Chelsea
    01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1
    21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1
    13.02.2026 Hull City - Chelsea 0:4
    10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship