Lille vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Lille - Aston Villa
Result
2:2 penalties
18/04/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTBF
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.64
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
22
Free Kicks
1320
Corner Kicks
77
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
1713
Yellow Cards
57
Total Passes
548514
Completed Passes
498441
Tackles
1310
Attacks
11083
Dangerous Attacks
6236
Crosses Completed
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Yazici Y. , Gudmundsson G. (A),
  • 21', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 28', Zaniolo N. , Rogers M. ,
  • 39', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 42', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
  • 44', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 44', Fonseca P. 🟨,
  • 44', Emery U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 62', Santos T. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Andre B. , Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 70', Diaby M. , Bailey L. ,
  • 76', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 77', Haraldsson H. , Gomes A. ,
  • 80', McGinn J. , Duran J. ,
  • 86', Yazici Y. , Cavaleiro I. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Cash M. ,
  • 90+1', Duran J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Gudmundsson G. , Cabella R. ,
  • 109', Watkins O. 🟨,
  • 117', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Tielemans Y. (Pen),
  • 1, Bentaleb N. (Pen),
  • 2, Watkins O. (Pen),
  • 2, David J. (Pen),
  • 3, Cash M. (Pen),
  • 3, Gomes A. (Pen),
  • 4, Bailey L. (Pen),
  • 4, Cabella R. (Pen),
  • 5, Douglas Luiz (Pen),
  • 5, Andre B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
37.7%
Draw
26.4%
Aston Villa
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 24.7% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 26.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lille - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.65)
    3.62
    (3.9)
    2.66
    (2.48)
    4.6%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lille - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 11 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 58.9%82.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Lille: Fernandes R. (Injury) Ilic A. (Calf Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Calf Injury) Ramsey J. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Aston Villa were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    29.03.2024 Lille - Lens 2:1
    17.03.2024 Brest - Lille 1:1
    14.03.2024 Lille - Sturm Graz 1:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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