Lille vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lille
33.3%
Draw
27.9%
Aston Villa
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 27.5% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.4% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Lille have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Lille - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.85)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    2.45
    (2.43)
    5.1%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Lille is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lille won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lille won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Aston Villa were as follows:
    18.04.2024 Lille - Aston Villa 2:2
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    01.03.2026 Lille - Nantes 1:0
    22.02.2026 Angers - Lille 0:1
    14.02.2026 Lille - Brest 1:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2