Aston Villa vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13, M+ Liga de Campeones 7
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandRSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.810.35
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
33
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
55
Passes
85% (427/500)89% (403/454)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.810.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.15
Total shots
88
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
13
Free kicks
107
Passes
85% (427/500)89% (403/454)
Long passes
46% (24/52)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
72% (83/115)71% (75/106)
Crosses
9% (1/11)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.58
Throw ins
2010
Fouls
710
Tackles
86% (12/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.152.21
Goals prevented
0.150.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Correia F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, McGinn J. , Sancho J. (A),
  • 56', Abraham T. , Watkins O. ,
  • 66', Correia F. , Haraldsson H. ,
  • 66', Bouaddi A. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 66', Mukau N. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 72', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
  • 73', Alexsandro , Mandi A. ,
  • 74', McGinn J. , Buendia E. ,
  • 74', Bogarde L. , Cash M. ,
  • 81', Meunier T. , Santos T. ,
  • 84', Sancho J. , Bailey L. ,
  • 84', Rogers M. , Elliott H. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Bailey L. , Watkins O. (A),

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
55.3%
Draw
25%
Lille
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 22.1% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 24.4% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa's form might have worsened.
  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aston Villa - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.53)
    3.84
    (4.31)
    4.87
    (6.01)
    4.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Lille?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Lille (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.72%94.28%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 60%). Lille (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
    • Aston Villa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Inactive) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Perrin G. (Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Lille were as follows:
    12.03.2026 Lille - Aston Villa 0:1
    18.04.2024 Lille - Aston Villa 2:2
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Lille
    15.03.2026 Rennes - Lille 1:2
    12.03.2026 Lille - Aston Villa 0:1
    08.03.2026 Lille - Lorient 1:1
    01.03.2026 Lille - Nantes 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)0 : 4, 2 : 0
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)1 : 5, 1 : 0
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)2 : 0, 1 : 1
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)0 : 2, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Braga (6)Betis (4)
    2Freiburg (7)Celta Vigo (16)
    3FC Porto (5)Nottingham (13)
    4Bologna (10)Aston Villa (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2