Lille vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Lille - Aston Villa
Result
2:2 penalties
18/04/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumRTBF
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.64
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
22
Free Kicks
1320
Corner Kicks
77
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
1713
Yellow Cards
57
Total Passes
548514
Completed Passes
498441
Tackles
1310
Attacks
11083
Dangerous Attacks
6236
Crosses Completed
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Yazici Y. , Gudmundsson G. (A),
  • 21', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 28', Zaniolo N. , Rogers M. ,
  • 39', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 42', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
  • 44', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 44', Fonseca P. 🟨,
  • 44', Emery U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 62', Santos T. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Andre B. , Haraldsson H. (A),
  • 70', Diaby M. , Bailey L. ,
  • 76', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 77', Haraldsson H. , Gomes A. ,
  • 80', McGinn J. , Duran J. ,
  • 86', Yazici Y. , Cavaleiro I. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Cash M. ,
  • 90+1', Duran J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Gudmundsson G. , Cabella R. ,
  • 109', Watkins O. 🟨,
  • 117', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Tielemans Y. (Pen),
  • 1, Bentaleb N. (Pen),
  • 2, Watkins O. (Pen),
  • 2, David J. (Pen),
  • 3, Cash M. (Pen),
  • 3, Gomes A. (Pen),
  • 4, Bailey L. (Pen),
  • 4, Cabella R. (Pen),
  • 5, Douglas Luiz (Pen),
  • 5, Andre B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lille
37.7%
Draw
26.4%
Aston Villa
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 24.7% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 26.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lille - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.65)
    3.62
    (3.9)
    2.66
    (2.48)
    4.6%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 11 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 58.9%82.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Lille: Fernandes R. (Injury) Ilic A. (Calf Injury) Miramon I. (Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Calf Injury) Ramsey J. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Aston Villa were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    Latest results of Lille
    11.04.2024 Aston Villa - Lille 2:1
    29.03.2024 Lille - Lens 2:1
    17.03.2024 Brest - Lille 1:1
    14.03.2024 Lille - Sturm Graz 1:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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