Olympiacos Piraeus vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
italyItalySky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Xtra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.09
Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
24
Free Kicks
817
Corner Kicks
09
Offsides
71
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
107
Yellow Cards
33
Total Passes
224585
Completed Passes
158517
Tackles
125
Attacks
55120
Dangerous Attacks
2767
Crosses Completed
211

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, El Kaabi A. , Quini (A),
  • 31', Rodinei 🟨,
  • 45+5', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Podence D. 🟨,
  • 58', Diaby M. , Duran J. ,
  • 63', Podence D. , Masouras G. ,
  • 65', Diego Carlos , Iroegbunam T. ,
  • 68', Quini 🟨,
  • 73', Iroegbunam T. 🟨,
  • 73', Iborra V. , Horta A. ,
  • 77', Quini , Apostolopoulos A. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, El Kaabi A. , Tzolakis K. (A),
  • 86', Cash M. , Kesler Hayden K. ,
  • 86', Digne L. , Munroe F. ,
  • 86', Bailey L. , Kellyman O. ,
  • 89', Duran J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympiacos Piraeus
27.6%
Draw
23.9%
Aston Villa
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 24.9% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 22.6% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympiacos Piraeus's performance.
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympiacos Piraeus that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Olympiacos Piraeus - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (4.88)
    3.99
    (3.79)
    1.96
    (1.69)
    5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Olympiacos Piraeus - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 28 - 33.7%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 46 - 55.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 10.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 44.7%66.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-2.
    • Olympiacos in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Aston Villa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Aston Villa will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Olympiacos: Biancone G. (Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury) Leidner D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Ramsey J. (Foot Injury) Rogers M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Olympiacos: Ortega F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E. (Thigh Injury) Tielemans Y. (Injury) Zaniolo N. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Olympiacos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympiacos Piraeus - Aston Villa were as follows:
    02.05.2024 Aston Villa - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:4
    Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2