Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
3:2
29/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV3+, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.942.37
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
98
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
42
Passes
89% (584/659)79% (290/366)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.942.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.372.37
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
34
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3421
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
06
Free kicks
138
Passes
89% (584/659)79% (290/366)
Long passes
64% (28/44)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
79% (147/186)61% (52/85)
Crosses
37% (7/19)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.861.55
Throw ins
138
Fouls
813
Tackles
75% (12/16)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
1524
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
40
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
66
xGOT faced
2.372.37
Goals prevented
0.37-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Konate K. ⚽, Baidoo E. (A),
  • 35', Gadou J. 🟨,
  • 35', Watkins O. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Hemmings G. ↓, Cash M. ↑,
  • 46', Konate K. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Yeo M. K. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
  • 65', 1 - 2, Rogers M. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
  • 66', Onana A. ↓, Konsa E. ↑,
  • 66', Buendia E. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
  • 73', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
  • 73', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Mings T. ⚽, Cash M. (A),
  • 78', Sancho J. ↓, Young K. ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Jimoh-Aloba J. ⚽, Young K. (A),
  • 89', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
  • 89', Diabate S. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
72.9%		Draw
16%		Red Bull Salzburg
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.2% 18.7% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 16.4% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.32 ↓
    (1.35)    		 5.94 ↑
    (5.11)    		 8.71 ↓
    (9.53)    		 4.2%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 44 - 78.6%). Salzburg will win (votes: 10 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 67.9% – 89.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Salzburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 29 - 87.9%). Salzburg (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Aston Villa is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Aston Villa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Salzburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Salzburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) McGinn J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Lainer S. (Foot Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    22.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Aston Villa - Everton 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2026 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    22.01.2026 Red Bull Salzburg - Basel 3:1 ✺
    15.01.2026 Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 2:0
    06.01.2026 Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich 0:5
    14.12.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger 2:1 ✺
    11.12.2025 Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
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