Astra Sharma vs Ariana Geerlings Martinez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Hamburg Astra Sharma - Ariana Geerlings Martinez
Result
2:1
15/07/2025 at 10:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
61%74%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (43/70)57% (39/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (21/44)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
71% (12/17)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
43% (30/69)39% (27/70)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (13/24)52% (23/44)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)29% (5/17)
Service Points Won
56% (64/114)54% (50/93)
Return Points Won
46% (43/93)44% (50/114)
Total Points Won
52% (107/207)48% (100/207)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Astra Sharma
65.2%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astra Sharma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astra Sharma's performance.
  • Ariana Geerlings Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ariana Geerlings Martinez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astra Sharma that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ariana Geerlings Martinez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Astra Sharma - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.58)

    2.72
    (2.37)
    5.1%
    (5.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sharma is ranked WTA: 139. Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 331.
    • Sharma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Geerlings Martinez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sharma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sharma might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Astra Sharma
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alexandrova E. (1)Vedder E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Werner C. (Q)Steiner V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Cengiz B.Kraus S.1 : 2
    4Noha Akugue N. (WC)Bondar A. (7)1 : 2
    5Fossa Huergo N. (LL)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Nahimana S. (LL)Rus A.0 : 2
    7Timofeeva M. (Q)Juvan K.0 : 2
    8Chirico L.Sherif M. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Boisson L. (5)Grabher J.2 : 0
    10Serban R.Korpatsch T.0 : 2
    11Sharma A.Geerlings Martinez A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Tomova V.Maria T. (3)2 : 0
    13Uchijima M. (6)Schunk N. (WC)0 : 2
    14Krunic A. (Q)Galfi D.0 : 2
    15Wuerth T.Parry D.1 : 2
    16Niemeier J.Yastremska D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alexandrova E. (1)Werner C.2 : 0
    2Kraus S.Bondar A. (7)0 : 2
    3Romero Gormaz L.Rus A.2 : 0
    4Juvan K.Chirico L.2 : 1
    5Boisson L. (5)Korpatsch T.2 : 1
    6Sharma A.Tomova V.0 : 2
    7Schunk N.Galfi D.1 : 2
    8Parry D.Yastremska D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alexandrova E. (1)Bondar A. (7)1 : 2
    2Romero Gormaz L.Juvan K.1 : 2
    3Boisson L. (5)Tomova V.2 : 0
    4Galfi D.Yastremska D. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bondar A. (7)Juvan K.2 : 1
    2Boisson L. (5)Yastremska D. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Bondar A. (7)Boisson L. (5)0 : 2