Astralis vs NRG Esports – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • COUNTER-STRIKE: IEM Krakow - Qualification - Winners stage - Final

Chances of winning


Astralis
61.6%
NRG Esports
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astralis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • NRG Esports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astralis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NRG Esports than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NRG Esports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Astralis - NRG Esports Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.65)

    2.46
    (2.21)
    6.2%
    (5.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Astralis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • NRG is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • NRG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Astralis has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, NRG has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Astralis
    28.01.2026 Astralis - paiN Gaming 2:0
    18.01.2026 PARIVISION - Astralis 2:0
    13.01.2026 Fnatic - Astralis 1:2
    02.12.2025 Team Liquid - Astralis 2:0
    01.12.2025 Aurora - Astralis 1:2
    Latest results of NRG Esports
    28.01.2026 NRG Esports - B8 2:1
    14.01.2026 NRG Esports - Heroic Canceled
    11.01.2026 NRG Esports - Marsborne 2:1
    10.01.2026 NRG Esports - Voca 2:0
    09.01.2026 NRG Esports - Phoenix 2:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Team SpiritBye
    2FURIAAurora2 : 0
    3Team VitalityBye
    4G2 EsportsMOUZ0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Team SpiritFURIA1 : 2
    2Team VitalityMOUZ2 : 0

    Final
    1FURIATeam Vitality1 : 3

    3rd place
    2Team SpiritMOUZ2 : 0