ASVEL Basket vs AS Monaco Basket, French Cup Basketball

17/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

LDLC Arena (Lyon).

French Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Field goals attempts
69	57
Field goals made
29	31
Field goals %
42.03%	54.39%
2-point field goals attempts
39	40
2-point field goals made
17	23
2-point field goals %
43.59%	57.5%
3-point field goals attempts
30	17
3-point field goals made
12	8
3-point field goals %
40%	47.06%
Free throws attempts
30	39
Free throws made
23	28
Free throws %
76.7%	71.8%
Offensive rebounds
21	10
Defensive rebounds
21	22
Total rebounds
42	32
Assists
14	20
Blocks
1	4
Turnovers
14	14
Steals
9	6
Personal fouls
29	26

Chances of winning

ASVEL Basket
51.6%

AS Monaco Basket
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ASVEL Basket's performance.

AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AS Monaco Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ASVEL Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AS Monaco Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.03)		1.93 ↑ (1.73)	7.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

What is the prediction for ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 173.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AS Monaco Basket will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AS Monaco Basket will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:87.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Monaco has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1558:1720. (average 77.9:86).
Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 784:845. (average 78.4:84.5).

How many head-to-head matches has ASVEL Basket won against AS Monaco Basket?

ASVEL Basket has won 3 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AS Monaco Basket won against ASVEL Basket?

AS Monaco Basket has won 19 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket were as follows:

19.11.2025 ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket 52:84

19.10.2025 ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket 98:102

10.06.2025 AS Monaco Basket - ASVEL Basket 91:86

08.06.2025 AS Monaco Basket - ASVEL Basket 74:64

05.06.2025 ASVEL Basket - AS Monaco Basket 77:94

Latest results of ASVEL Basket

14.02.2026 Nancy - ASVEL Basket 82:88 ✺

12.02.2026 Valencia - ASVEL Basket 82:67 ✺

08.02.2026 ASVEL Basket - Nanterre 64:75 ✺

06.02.2026 ASVEL Basket - Olimpia Milano 76:77 ✺

04.02.2026 Virtus Bologna - ASVEL Basket 70:80 ✺

Latest results of AS Monaco Basket

15.02.2026 Nanterre - AS Monaco Basket 76:81 ✺

13.02.2026 AS Monaco Basket - Baskonia 102:92 ✺

08.02.2026 Élan Sportif Chalonnais - AS Monaco Basket 78:92 ✺

05.02.2026 Bayern München - AS Monaco Basket 91:82 ✺

03.02.2026 Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket 104:87 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/64-finals

1	Toulouse	Tarbes	59 : 79
2	Les Sables	Poitiers	90 : 89
3	Fos-sur-Mer	Hyeres-Toulon	69 : 71
4	Lyonso	Saint Vallier	85 : 84
8	Bye	Dijon
9	Chartres	Evreux	92 : 94
10	Tours	Caen	90 : 81
11	Rennes	Nantes	91 : 92
12	Aurore	Quimper	72 : 77
16	Bye	Chalon/Saone
17	Angers	Challans	65 : 79
18	Bye	La Rochelle
19	Marmande	Pau-Orthez	72 : 112
20	Bye	Boulazac
24	Bye	Le Mans
25	Charleville Mezieres	Metz	81 : 90
26	Orchies	Levallois	83 : 60
27	Chalons-Reims	ASA	84 : 70
28	Bye	Strasbourg
32	Bye	Cholet
33	Le Havre	Rouen	95 : 91
34	Loon Plage	Berck/Rang Du Fliers	79 : 72
35	Fougeres	CEP Lorient	83 : 72
36	Ada Blois	Orleans	85 : 74
40	Bye	JL Bourg
41	Pays Salonais	Antibes	71 : 88
42	Roanne	Aix Maurienne	79 : 83
43	St. Chamond	Vichy	75 : 66
44	Bye	Limoges
45	Le Portel	Bye
46	Bye	Gravelines-Dunkerque
47	Poissy	Val de Seine	90 : 86
48	Bye	Nanterre
49	Lyon-Villeurbanne	Bye
53	Boulogne sur Mer	Denain-Voltaire	90 : 100
54	Mulhouse	Besancon	71 : 60
55	Saint Quentin	Bye
56	Bye	Nancy
57	Monaco	Bye
64	Bye	Paris

1/32-finals

1	Tarbes	Les Sables	81 : 72
2	Hyeres-Toulon	Lyonso	84 : 68
4	Bye	Dijon
5	Evreux	Tours	71 : 98
6	Nantes	Quimper	89 : 87
8	Bye	Chalon/Saone
9	Challans	La Rochelle	78 : 98
10	Pau-Orthez	Boulazac	83 : 88
12	Bye	Le Mans
13	Metz	Orchies	79 : 92
14	Chalons-Reims	Strasbourg	75 : 77
16	Bye	Cholet
17	Le Havre	Loon Plage	72 : 64
18	Fougeres	Ada Blois	70 : 92
20	Bye	JL Bourg
21	Antibes	Aix Maurienne	84 : 81
22	St. Chamond	Limoges	82 : 80
23	Le Portel	Gravelines-Dunkerque	77 : 71
24	Poissy	Nanterre	70 : 100
25	Lyon-Villeurbanne	Bye
27	Denain-Voltaire	Mulhouse	91 : 92
28	Saint Quentin	Nancy	102 : 72
29	Monaco	Bye
32	Bye	Paris

1/16-finals

1	Tarbes	Hyeres-Toulon	53 : 81
2	Bye	Dijon
3	Tours	Nantes	99 : 69
4	Bye	Chalon/Saone
5	La Rochelle	Boulazac	90 : 79
6	Bye	Le Mans
7	Orchies	Strasbourg	66 : 73
8	Bye	Cholet
9	Le Havre	Ada Blois	74 : 82
10	Bye	JL Bourg
11	Antibes	St. Chamond	80 : 65
12	Le Portel	Nanterre	60 : 121
13	Lyon-Villeurbanne	Bye
14	Mulhouse	Saint Quentin	86 : 88
15	Monaco	Bye
16	Bye	Paris

1/8-finals

1	Hyeres-Toulon	Dijon	112 : 110
2	Tours	Chalon/Saone	84 : 100
3	La Rochelle	Le Mans	101 : 108
4	Strasbourg	Cholet	93 : 85
5	Ada Blois	JL Bourg	83 : 78
6	Antibes	Nanterre	70 : 97
7	Lyon-Villeurbanne	Saint Quentin	99 : 74
8	Monaco	Paris	109 : 103

Quarter-finals

1	Hyeres-Toulon	Chalon/Saone	116 : 112
2	Le Mans	Strasbourg	88 : 74
3	Ada Blois	Nanterre	80 : 109
4	Lyon-Villeurbanne	Monaco	95 : 98

Semi-finals

1	Hyeres-Toulon	Le Mans
2	Nanterre	Monaco

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

ASVEL Basket vs AS Monaco Basket, French Cup Basketball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV