Le Mans vs ASVEL Basket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
88:91
25/01/2026 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LNB - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
franceFranceDAZN France

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6264
Field goals made
2934
Field goals %
46.77%53.13%
2-point field goals attempts
4040
2-point field goals made
2223
2-point field goals %
55%57.5%
3-point field goals attempts
2224
3-point field goals made
711
3-point field goals %
31.82%45.83%
Free throws attempts
2814
Free throws made
2312
Free throws %
82.1%85.7%
Offensive rebounds
915
Defensive rebounds
1623
Total rebounds
2538
Assists
1919
Blocks
21
Turnovers
918
Steals
83
Personal fouls
1723

Chances of winning


Le Mans
49.8%
ASVEL Basket
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Le Mans - ASVEL Basket Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.79)

    1.87
    (1.92)
    6.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Le Mans - ASVEL Basket?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 25%). ASVEL will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ASVEL: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 36.4%). ASVEL (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Le Mans (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, OT - Le Mans (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Le Mans (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -3, OT - Le Mans (2.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Le Mans (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2, OT - Le Mans (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1, OT - Le Mans (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 18 - 72%). ASVEL (votes: 7 - 28%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:88.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1.
    • Le Mans is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • ASVEL has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • ASVEL may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Le Mans has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, ASVEL has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1545:1712. (average 77.3:85.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 785:807. (average 78.5:80.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - ASVEL Basket were as follows:
    11.10.2025 ASVEL Basket - Le Mans 91:66
    12.05.2025 Le Mans - ASVEL Basket 97:80
    22.09.2024 ASVEL Basket - Le Mans 85:71
    27.01.2024 Le Mans - ASVEL Basket 87:100
    17.09.2023 ASVEL Basket - Le Mans 89:75
    Latest results of Le Mans
    21.01.2026 Galatasaray - Le Mans 83:90
    18.01.2026 Paris - Le Mans 110:92
    10.01.2026 Boulazac - Le Mans 86:97
    08.01.2026 Le Mans - Mersin SK 113:83
    06.01.2026 Mersin SK - Le Mans 65:92
    Latest results of ASVEL Basket
    23.01.2026 ASVEL Basket - Barcelona 91:98
    18.01.2026 ASVEL Basket - Le Portel 104:58
    13.01.2026 ASVEL Basket - Boulazac 94:77
    French LNB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Monaco221832083:18450.857
    2Nanterre221661934:18040.727
    3Paris221662196:18590.727
    4Strasbourg211471780:17660.667
    5JL Bourg221481921:18190.636
    6Lyon-Villeurbanne211381844:16690.619
    7Le Mans221391942:18820.591
    8Cholet221391901:18480.591
    9Chalon/Saone2210121859:18900.455
    10Nancy229131882:19350.409
    11Dijon229131966:19790.409
    12Boulazac229131793:18280.409
    13Limoges227151814:19750.318
    14Gravelines-Dunkerque227151836:19990.318
    15Saint Quentin225171774:19330.227
    16Le Portel220211629:21230.000

          Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )
          LNB (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Elite 2