Le Mans vs ASVEL Basket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball French LNB Le Mans - ASVEL Basket
Result
97:80
12/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LNB - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceDAZN 1

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6756
Field Goals Made
3324
Field Goals %
49.3%42.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4135
2-Point Field Goals Made
2418
2-Point Field Goals %
58.5%51.4%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2621
3-Point Field Goals Made
96
3-Point Field Goals %
34.6%28.6%
Free Throws Attempted
2830
Free Throws Made
2226
Free Throws %
78.6%86.7%
Offensive Rebounds
1610
Defensive Rebounds
2320
Total Rebounds
3930
Assists
2117
Blocks
14
Turnovers
712
Steals
55
Personal Fouls
2225

Chances of winning


Le Mans
29.6%
ASVEL Basket
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 64.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Mans's form might have worsened.
  • ASVEL Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ASVEL Basket's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Mans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ASVEL Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Le Mans - ASVEL Basket Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.65)

    1.38
    (1.47)
    4.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 174.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • What is the prediction for Le Mans - ASVEL Basket?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 7 - 28%). ASVEL will win (votes: 18 - 72%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ASVEL: 54.4%89.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 33.3%). ASVEL (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:91.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0.
    • Le Mans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • ASVEL is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • ASVEL will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1547:1704. (average 77.4:85.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 777:810. (average 77.7:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - ASVEL Basket were as follows:
    22.09.2024 ASVEL Basket - Le Mans 85:71
    27.01.2024 Le Mans - ASVEL Basket 87:100
    17.09.2023 ASVEL Basket - Le Mans 89:75
    23.05.2023 Le Mans - ASVEL Basket 63:66
    21.05.2023 ASVEL Basket - Le Mans 103:73
    Latest results of Le Mans
    03.05.2025 Saint-Quentin - Le Mans 89:91
    29.04.2025 Le Mans - JL Bourg-en-Bresse 96:92
    26.04.2025 Paris - Le Mans 91:80
    19.04.2025 Le Mans - Strasbourg 90:70
    13.04.2025 Gravelines - Le Mans 91:85
    Latest results of ASVEL Basket
    04.05.2025 Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket 75:94
    25.04.2025 ASVEL Basket - Nancy 92:82
    13.04.2025 Le Portel - ASVEL Basket 74:76
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Paris (1)Dijon (8)2 : 1
    2Cholet (4)JL Bourg (5)0 : 2
    3Lyon-Villeurbanne (2)Chalon/Saone (7)2 : 1
    4Monaco (3)Le Mans (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Paris (1)JL Bourg (5)3 : 0
    2Lyon-Villeurbanne (2)Monaco (3)1 : 3

    Final
    1Paris (1)Monaco (3)3 : 2