Meerssen vs ASWH – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Derde Divisie - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Chances of winning

Meerssen
46.1%

Draw
23.2%

ASWH
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.1%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meerssen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meerssen's performance.

ASWH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASWH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meerssen than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meerssen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASWH than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASWH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Meerssen - ASWH Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.34)	3.94 ↑ (3.77)	2.97 ↑ (2.49)	9.7% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Meerssen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
ASWH is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
ASWH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Meerssen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Meerssen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Meerssen won against ASWH?

Meerssen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has ASWH won against Meerssen?

ASWH has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Meerssen - ASWH were as follows:

01.02.2025 Meerssen - ASWH 2:0

07.09.2024 ASWH - Meerssen 1:3

Latest results of Meerssen

07.03.2026 TOGB - Meerssen 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Meerssen - Kloetinge 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Meerssen - Noordwijk 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Groene Ster - Meerssen 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Meerssen - VV Zwaluwen 0:1 ✺

Latest results of ASWH

07.03.2026 ASWH - UDI 19 2:5 ✺

21.02.2026 ASWH - Blauw Geel 38 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 ASWH - Noordwijk 2:4 ✺

07.02.2026 Gemert - ASWH 3:1 ✺

31.01.2026 TOGB - ASWH 4:1 ✺

Dutch Derde Divisie Table

2025/26

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Raalte	29	18	7	4	57:29	28	61
2	Sparta Nijkerk	29	16	3	10	70:37	33	51
3	DVS '33 Ermelo	29	14	9	6	50:33	17	51
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	29	14	9	6	40:32	8	51
5	Genemuiden	29	15	5	9	51:40	11	50
6	Staphorst	29	15	3	11	56:43	13	48
7	Sportlust	29	14	5	10	51:40	11	47
8	Eemdijk	29	13	7	9	62:50	12	46
9	VV DOVO	29	12	7	10	42:34	8	43
10	Harkemase Boys	28	11	9	8	47:35	12	42
11	VV Scherpenzeel	29	12	5	12	46:43	3	41
12	Hoogeveen	29	12	5	12	49:55	-6	41
13	USV Hercules	29	10	4	15	43:53	-10	34
14	Excelsior 31	29	10	3	16	41:50	-9	33
15	Huizen	29	9	6	14	43:54	-11	33
16	TEC	29	10	2	17	41:58	-17	32
17	Urk	28	6	5	17	51:85	-34	23
18	HSC '21	29	1	2	26	27:96	-69	5

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kloetinge	29	18	6	5	55:38	17	60
2	Lisse	29	17	7	5	59:27	32	58
3	Rijnvogels	29	17	5	7	55:34	21	56
4	Gemert	29	15	9	5	57:36	21	54
5	VVSB	29	16	5	8	58:36	22	53
6	Roosendaal	29	12	8	9	59:48	11	44
7	Blauw Geel	29	13	5	11	49:42	7	44
8	TOGB	29	12	7	10	53:55	-2	43
9	VV Zwaluwen	29	12	6	11	48:43	5	42
10	UDI'19	29	11	6	12	52:55	-3	39
11	Noordwijk	29	10	7	12	44:41	3	37
12	GOES	29	9	5	15	32:52	-20	32
13	SteDoCo	29	9	4	16	28:52	-24	31
14	Groene Ster	29	8	6	15	36:51	-15	30
15	UNA	29	7	8	14	43:54	-11	29
16	Scheveningen	29	8	4	17	41:53	-12	28
17	Meerssen	29	6	6	17	41:61	-20	24
18	ASWH	29	6	6	17	39:71	-32	24

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